Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/8/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (75-61) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Miami Marlins (55-80) when the teams meet at 6:45 PM ET Thursday. The Phillies are -132 favorites to keep the Marlins out of the win column in the series. Kyle Gibson will get the ball for Philadelphia while Miami counter with Sandy Alcantara.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +111. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+111) and Under (7)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Thursday, September 8, 2022
• Game Time: 6:45 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• Gibson looks for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Phillies, his 27th of the season. He is 9-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 140 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out came on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when the right-hander threw 1 2/3 innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 34-year-old has put together a 4.48 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .250 to his opponents.
• Gibson is looking to collect his 15th quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Gibson enters the matchup with 17 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.359) and ranks 26th in MLB play with 117 home runs. It has a collective .228 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 1023 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 476 runs.
• Gibson has pitched 24 2/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs on 22 hits while striking out 20 against the Marlins this season.
• This season, the 34-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (4.48), 39th in WHIP (1.251), and 37th in K/9 (7.4) among qualifying pitchers.

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• The Marlins will send Alcantara (12-7) to the mound for his 28th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw five innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 2.36 ERA this season with 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 27 games.
• He has started 27 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 19 of them.
• Alcantara has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Phillies are batting .253 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .421 (sixth in the league) with 169 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 25-for-108 with seven doubles and 10 RBI in 29 2/3 innings this season.
• The 27-year-old ranks fifth in ERA (2.36), ninth in WHIP (.997), and 29th in K/9 (8.0) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 89 times and won 53, or 59.6%, of those games.
• This season, Philadelphia has won 39 of its 63 games, or 61.9%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 69 of their 136 chances.
• The Phillies are 69-67-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won in 24, or 29.3%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 15 times in 61 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 47.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 135 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 62-73-0 against the spread in their 135 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .249 with 27 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 65 walks.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Hoskins ranks 20th in home runs and 45th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 36 home runs with 78 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Of all MLB hitters, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks while batting .268.
• Alec Bohm has a club-high .290 batting average.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the Marlins with a .229 batting average.
• Rojas is 237th in homers and 230th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Jon Berti has 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks while batting .258.
• Berti is currently 320th in home runs and 296th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Garrett Cooper has 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 36 walks while batting .253.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 14 walks.