Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-52) are set to take on the New York Mets (76-43) Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Phillies are listed as -125 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Mets have +105 odds for the contest. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Chris Bassitt.

Phillies vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Mets

Our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +105 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+105) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Mets Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
• Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola makes the start for the Phillies, his 24th of the season. He is 8-9 with a 3.07 ERA and 165 strikeouts through 152 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the New York Mets, when he went eight innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
• In 23 games this season, the 29-year-old has a 3.07 ERA and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .215 to his opponents.
• Nola is aiming to claim his fourth straight quality start in this game.
• Nola will try to build upon a 22-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Mets offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.409) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 121 home runs. It has a collective .258 batting average, and is fourth in MLB with 1041 total hits and fourth in MLB action scoring 564 runs.
• Nola has thrown 24 1/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs on 17 hits while striking out 29 against the Mets this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old’s 3.07 ERA ranks 19th, .930 WHIP ranks fourth, and 9.7 K/9 ranks ninth.

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

• Bassitt (10-7) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed four hits in five scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.27 and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .229 in 22 games this season.
• In 22 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 14 of them.
• Bassitt will look to pitch five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
• The Phillies have scored 541 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 153 home runs, sixth in the league.
• The right-hander has faced the Phillies three times this season, allowing them to go 11-for-61 with three doubles, a home run and two RBI in 16 2/3 innings.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 33-year-old’s 3.27 ERA ranks 27th, 1.126 WHIP ranks 24th, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 19th.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 73 times and won 44, or 60.3%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 37-25, a 59.7% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
• Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 57 of 117 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 62-55-0 against the spread in their 117 chances this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mets have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (46.7%) in those contests.
• New York has a mark of 10-13 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 60 of 121 chances this season.
• The Mets are 66-53-0 against the spread in their 119 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins has 21 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 58 walks while batting .253.
• In all of the majors, Hoskins is 12th in home runs and 39th in RBI.
• Hoskins carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .270 with a double, three home runs, seven walks and seven RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber’s 34 home runs and 69 runs batted in both lead his team.
• Schwarber ranks second in homers and 21st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• J.T. Realmuto has 17 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .258.
• Alec Bohm’s .288 batting average leads his team.
• Bohm takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .217 with a double.

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

• Pete Alonso has a team-leading 29 home runs and has driven in 99 runs.
• Alonso’s home run total puts him fifth in MLB, and he ranks second in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .270 with 17 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 48 walks.
• Lindor is currently 28th in homers and fifth in RBI in the major leagues.
• Starling Marte has 20 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .288.
• Brandon Nimmo has 22 doubles, five triples, 10 home runs and 44 walks while batting .264.