Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

by | Jul 4, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

The Washington Nationals (29-53) hope to avoid their sixth straight defeat when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies (42-38) Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Phillies are listed as -157 favorites, while the Nationals are +135 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Philadelphia’s Rodolfo Sanchez gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Paolo Espino.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -157 +135 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +126 -149

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +135 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+135) and Over (9.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Rodolfo Sanchez
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Paolo Espino
  • Game Day: Tuesday, July 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Sanchez Espino
0 GS 4
0-0 W-L 0-1
ERA 2.80
0 IP 45.0
0 BB 10
0 SO 34

Phillies Starter Rodolfo Sanchez

  • Sanchez gets the call to start for the Phillies, his first this season.
  • The right-hander will make his MLB debut. He’s 22 years old.
  • The Nationals are 24th in MLB action with 327 runs scored this season, and are batting .251 with 64 home runs (25th in baseball).

Nationals Starter Paolo Espino

  • Espino (0-1) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 2.80, a 3.4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.133 in 24 games this season.
  • Espino has two starts of five or more innings this season in four chances. He averages 1.3 innings per outing.
  • The Phillies are batting .248 this season, 11th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .418 (sixth in the league) with 103 home runs.
  • The Phillies have gone 3-for-17 with a home run and two RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 50 games this season and won 28 (56%) of those contests.
  • This season, Philadelphia has won 13 of its 18 games, or 72.2%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 80 chances this season.
  • In 80 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 41-39-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (32.8%) in those contests.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 14 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 41 of their 82 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals are 34-48-0 against the spread in their 82 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Phillies best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 23-dinger 51-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Schwarber’s home runs put him second in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
  • Rhys Hoskins has 15 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 41 walks while batting .257.
  • Hoskins is 15th in home runs and 40th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Hoskins has seven straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .303 with three doubles, four home runs, eight walks and five RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .248 with 17 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
  • Castellanos has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a home run and five RBI.
  • J.T. Realmuto is batting .242 with 11 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 22 walks.
  • Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 78 .215 .331 .495 23 51 62
Rhys Hoskins 79 .257 .350 .497 17 42 75
Nicholas Castellanos 79 .248 .298 .381 8 42 76
J.T. Realmuto 70 .242 .317 .371 6 31 62
Alec Bohm 76 .265 .298 .362 4 27 76

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Josh Bell has put up a team-leading batting average of .322 while pacing the Nationals in runs batted in with a mark of 47.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Bell ranks 50th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
  • Bell has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .421 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Juan Soto has shown off his power as he paces his team with 15 home runs.
  • Soto ranks 28th in home runs and 96th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Nelson Cruz is hitting .241 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .255 with 17 doubles, two triples and 26 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Josh Bell 81 .322 .402 .517 12 47 94
Juan Soto 80 .219 .378 .442 15 33 60
Nelson Cruz 76 .241 .322 .369 8 46 68
César Hernández 81 .255 .315 .319 0 19 83
Keibert Ruiz 62 .261 .325 .363 3 19 59

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