Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/7/2022

Following a two-homer game last time out, Kyle Schwarber leads the Philadelphia Phillies (43-39) into action as -184 favorites against the Washington Nationals (30-54). First pitch from Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 PM ET on Thursday. Bailey Falter gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Joan Adon is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +156 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+156) and Over (10)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Joan Adon
• Game Day: Thursday, July 7, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Bailey Falter

• Falter (0-2 with a 4.88 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 24 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his fifth of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Friday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
• In eight games this season, the 25-year-old has put up a 4.88 ERA and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .290 to opposing hitters.
• The opposing Nationals offense has a collective .249 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 701 total hits and 26th in MLB action with 330 runs scored. It has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and ranks 27th in home runs (64) in all of MLB.
• Falter has a 5.4 ERA and a 1.2 WHIP against the Nationals this season in five innings pitched, allowing a .263 batting average over one appearance.

Nationals Starter Joan Adon

• Adon will make his first start of the season for the Nationals.
• This will be the first start of the season for the 23-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
• The Phillies rank 10th in MLB with a .248 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks sixth in the league (.420) and 108 home runs.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won 29, or 55.8%, of the 52 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 12 games this season favored by -184 or more and is 8-4 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of their 82 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 42-40-0 against the spread in their 82 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have won in 23, or 33.3%, of the 69 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Washington has won seven of 25 games when listed as at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 84 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 84 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 35-49-0 against the spread.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Phillies best power option comes in the form of Schwarber and his 27-homer 55-RBI season, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Schwarber’s home run total ranks him second, and his RBI tally puts him 10th.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with four home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .251 with 15 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 43 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 16th in home runs in MLB, and 45th in RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .251 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
• Castellanos is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double and four RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .240 with 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Josh Bell with a mark of 47, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .314.
• In all of the majors, Bell ranks 53rd in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Juan Soto’s 15 home runs lead his team.
• Soto ranks 29th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 106th in RBI.
• Nelson Cruz is batting .241 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez has 17 doubles, two triples and 26 walks while batting .249.