Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/4/2022

The Washington Nationals (36-70) will look to Ildemaro Vargas, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (56-48) on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET. The Nationals are +201 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers. Philadelphia’s Noah Syndergaard and Washington’s Paolo Espino have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +201 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+201) and Over (9)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Paolo Espino
• Game Day: Thursday, August 4, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Noah Syndergaard

• Syndergaard gets the start for the Phillies, his 16th of the season. He is 5-8 with a 3.83 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 80 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out — while pitching for the Los Angeles Angels — the righty threw 5 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals on Tuesday, July 26, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.83, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents are batting .244 against him.
• Syndergaard is looking to record his sixth quality start of the season.
• Syndergaard has put up 11 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Nationals offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and ranks 27th in MLB play with 85 home runs. It has a collective .247 batting average, and is 11th in MLB with 873 total hits and 25th in MLB action scoring 406 runs.

Nationals Starter Paolo Espino

• The Nationals will send Espino (0-3) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.78 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .268 in 29 games this season.
• None of Espino’s nine starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• Espino has three starts of five or more innings this season in nine chances. He averages 2.1 innings per outing.
• The Phillies have scored 480 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 873 hits, 11th in baseball, with 132 home runs (seventh in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 9-for-33 with two doubles, three home runs and six RBI in 8 2/3 innings this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 36, or 57.1%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has played as a favorite of -244 or more once this season and won that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 70.9% chance to win.
• Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 54 of 104 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 55-49-0 against the spread in their 104 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been victorious in 29, or 32.2%, of the 90 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has been victorious five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +201 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 33.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have hit the over in 52 of their 106 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 106 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 45-61-0 against the spread.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in home runs (33) and runs batted in (66).
• In all of Major League Baseball, Schwarber ranks second in homers and 14th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .247 with 20 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 49 walks.
• Hoskins is 23rd in homers and 62nd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .259 with 15 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
• Alec Bohm’s .296 batting average is a team-high mark.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Nationals with 52 runs batted in.
• In all of the big leagues, Cruz ranks 152nd in home runs and 45th in RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez has 22 doubles, three triples and 33 walks while hitting .238.
• Hernandez ranks 407th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 250th in RBI.
• Keibert Ruiz has a team-high batting average of .248.
• Luke Voit has swatted a team-high 13 long balls.