Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

Rhys Hoskins is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Philadelphia Phillies (57-48) as they get set to take on the Washington Nationals (36-71) on Friday. The Phillies enter the matchup as -213 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 7:05 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Kyle Gibson gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Josiah Gray.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +175 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+175) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
• Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• Gibson makes the start for the Phillies, his 21st of the season. He is 6-4 with a 4.60 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 107 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, July 27 against the Atlanta Braves, the righty tossed six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 20 games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.60, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
• Gibson is trying to secure his 11th quality start of the year in this outing.
• Gibson is looking to collect his 14th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• The opposing Nationals offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.375) and is 28th in MLB play with 85 home runs. It has a collective .248 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 884 total hits and 25th in MLB action scoring 410 runs.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 34-year-old’s 4.60 ERA ranks 55th, 1.226 WHIP ranks 40th, and 7 K/9 ranks 50th.

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

• Gray (7-7) will take the mound for the Nationals, his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed five innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 4.59, a 2.744 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.284.
• He has six quality starts in 19 chances this season.
• Gray has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Phillies have scored 485 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They have 880 hits, 13th in baseball, with 134 home runs (seventh in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 5-for-43 with two home runs and two RBI in 12 innings this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 64 times and won 37, or 57.8%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 3-2 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -213 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 68.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of their 105 opportunities.
• In 105 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 55-50-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 91 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (31.9%) in those contests.
• Washington has a mark of 9-19 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +175 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 36.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have gone over in 52 of their 107 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Nationals are 46-61-0 against the spread in their 107 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in home runs (33) and runs batted in (66).
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Hoskins has 20 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 49 walks while hitting .251.
• Hoskins ranks 18th in home runs in MLB, and 57th in RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .257 with 15 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
• Alec Bohm is batting .297 to pace his team.
• Bohm is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs and four RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has a team-leading 52 runs batted in.
• Cruz’s home run total places him 154th in the majors, and he is 47th in RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez has 22 doubles, three triples and 33 walks while batting .240.
• Hernandez ranks 402nd in homers and 245th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Keibert Ruiz leads the Nationals’ lineup with a .249 batting average.
• Luke Voit has swatted a team- leading 13 home runs.