Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

by | Aug 6, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

Rhys Hoskins is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Philadelphia Phillies (58-48) as they get set to take on the Washington Nationals (36-72) on Saturday. The Phillies enter the matchup as -259 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 6:05 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -259 +211 9 +100 -120 -1.5 -129 +107

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +211 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+211) and Over (9)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Suárez Corbin
18 GS 22
7-5 W-L 4-15
3.60 ERA 6.57
95.0 IP 109.2
35 BB 38
80 SO 102

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

  • Suarez makes the start for the Phillies, his 19th of the season. He is 7-5 with a 3.60 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 95 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.60, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .254 batting average against him.
  • Suarez enters the game with six quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Suarez will try to prolong a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing).
  • He will face a Nationals offense that ranks 25th in the league with 412 runs while batting .247 as a squad. It has a collective .373 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 85 home runs (28th in MLB).
  • In 5 2/3 innings over one appearance against the Nationals this season, Suarez has a 4.76 ERA and a 1.588 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .286.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • Corbin (4-15) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his 23rd start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 1/3 innings against the New York Mets.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 6.57, a 2.684 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.769 in 22 games this season.
  • He has six quality starts in 22 chances this season.
  • Corbin has 14 starts of five or more innings this season in 22 chances. He averages 4.3 innings per outing.
  • The Phillies have scored 492 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They have 889 hits, 11th in baseball, with 139 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • The left-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 8-for-20 with two doubles, two home runs and two RBI in 3 1/3 innings this season.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 33-year-old’s 6.57 ERA ranks 61st, 1.769 WHIP ranks 61st, and 8.4 K/9 ranks 29th.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have won 38, or 58.5%, of the 65 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Philadelphia has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -259 moneyline set for this game.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 54 of 106 chances this season.
  • In 106 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 56-50-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 92 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (31.5%) in those games.
  • This year, Washington has won five of 10 games when listed as at least +211 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 32.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 52 of their 108 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals are 46-62-0 against the spread in their 108 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 34 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 67 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber is 147th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging.
  • Schwarber brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .188 with two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
  • Hoskins is batting .253 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Hoskins ranks 17th in homers and 55th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Hoskins has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
  • J.T. Realmuto is hitting .263 with 15 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .296 to lead his team.
  • Bohm has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with a double, two home runs and four RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 104 .204 .309 .500 34 67 79
Rhys Hoskins 105 .253 .342 .485 22 51 98
J.T. Realmuto 91 .263 .336 .428 11 49 86
Alec Bohm 98 .296 .327 .416 8 44 109
Nicholas Castellanos 105 .257 .300 .384 10 53 105

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nelson Cruz has driven in a team-best 52 runs batted in.
  • Cruz is 154th in home runs and 49th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Cesar Hernandez is batting .239 with 22 doubles, three triples and 34 walks.
  • Hernandez ranks 399th overall in homers and 246th in RBI this season.
  • Keibert Ruiz paces the Nationals’ lineup with a .246 batting average.
  • Luke Voit paces the Nationals with 13 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nelson Cruz 95 .231 .315 .343 8 52 80
César Hernández 107 .239 .305 .306 0 22 99
Keibert Ruiz 84 .246 .304 .343 4 25 76
Luke Voit 84 .227 .319 .414 13 49 69
Lane Thomas 93 .233 .286 .394 10 35 68

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