Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (59-48) will take on the Washington Nationals (36-73) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. Cesar Hernandez will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the underdog Nationals (+251) when the game gets underway at Citizens Bank Park. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Cory Abbott.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +251. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+251) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Cory Abbott
• Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola gets the start for the Phillies, his 22nd of the season. He is 7-8 with a 3.25 ERA and 152 strikeouts through 138 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.25, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are hitting .218 against him.
• Nola has collected 12 quality starts this year.
• Nola is aiming for his 20th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will match up with a Nationals offense that ranks 12th in MLB with 900 total hits (on a .248 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .375 (26th in MLB) with 86 total home runs (28th in MLB).
• Nola has a 1.72 ERA and a 0.830 WHIP against the Nationals this season in 15 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .204 batting average over two appearances.
• The 29-year-old’s 3.25 ERA ranks 25th, .937 WHIP ranks fifth, and 9.9 K/9 ranks ninth among qualifying pitchers this season.

Nationals Starter Cory Abbott

• Abbott will take to the mound for the Nationals, his second start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the New York Mets, throwing five innings without allowing a run.
• He has pitched to a 1.00 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3 walks per nine across four games.
• The Phillies have scored 503 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 902 hits, 11th in baseball, with 142 home runs (fifth in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 0-for-3 in one inning this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 66 times this season and won 39, or 59.1%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -311.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 75.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 107 games with a total this season.
• In 107 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 57-50-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 93 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (31.2%) in those contests.
• Washington has been listed as an underdog of +251 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 28.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 109 opportunities.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 46-63-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Phillies best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 34-homer 67-RBI season, both team highs.
• Schwarber’s home runs put him second in MLB, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 51 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 15th in homers and 50th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Hoskins carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with three home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto is batting .265 with 15 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 30 walks.
• Realmuto will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two triples, two home runs and six RBI.
• Alec Bohm’s .296 batting average leads his team.
• Bohm is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has put up a team-leading 52 runs batted in.
• Cruz’s home run total puts him 157th in the majors, and he is 50th in RBI.
• Hernandez is batting .236 with 22 doubles, three triples and 34 walks.
• Hernandez ranks 399th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 246th in RBI.
• Luke Voit has 14 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Keibert Ruiz paces the Nationals with a .245 batting average.