Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/10/2022

The Washington Nationals (49-90) will look to Alex Call, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Philadelphia Phillies (76-62) Saturday at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are -250 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 6:05 PM ET. Ranger Suarez gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Erick Fedde is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +204 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+204) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
• Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
• Game Time: 6:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• Suarez (8-5 with a 3.52 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 127 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 25th of the season.
• His last time out was on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, when the lefty went four innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.52, with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .248 against him.
• Suarez is trying to record his ninth quality start of the year.
• Suarez has put together 16 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He meets a Nationals offense that ranks 25th in the league with 535 runs while batting .252 as a unit. It has a collective .381 slugging percentage (23rd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 118 home runs (27th in MLB).
• Suarez has thrown 11 innings, giving up six earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 10 against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

• The Nationals will send Fedde (6-9) to the mound for his 23rd start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 5.08, a 1.64 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.524.
• In 22 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
• Fedde has started 22 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Phillies are batting .254 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .423 (fifth in the league) with 172 home runs.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 54 out of the 91 games, or 59.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia is 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -250 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 71.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 138 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 70-68-0 ATS in their 138 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have come away with 41 wins in the 120 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 13 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +204 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 32.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of their 139 opportunities.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 63-76-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins is batting .252 with 27 doubles, two triples, 27 home runs and 65 walks.
• Hoskins is 17th in home runs and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Hoskins has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber’s 36 home runs and 78 RBI both lead his team.
• Schwarber is second in homers and 25th in RBI in the majors.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .271 with 23 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 38 walks.
• Alec Bohm’s .292 batting average paces his team.
• Bohm brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a triple and three RBI.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cesar Hernandez paces the Nationals with a .252 batting average.
• Hernandez’s home run total places him 393rd in MLB, and he is 224th in RBI.
• Hernandez brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .324 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, six walks and six RBI.
• Nelson Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Nationals with 64 runs batted in.
• Cruz ranks 163rd in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Lane Thomas has 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 31 walks while batting .249.
• Luke Voit has launched a team-high 19 home runs.