Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

by | Sep 9, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

The Washington Nationals (49-89) and Alex Call, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+182) on the moneyline and will look to upset the Philadelphia Phillies (75-62) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Noah Syndergaard and Washington’s Patrick Corbin have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -224 +182 8.5 -118 -103 -1.5 -108 -113

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +182. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+182) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
  • Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Syndergaard Corbin
21 GS 27
8-9 W-L 6-17
4.07 ERA 6.28
115.0 IP 134.2
28 BB 46
85 SO 118

Phillies Starter Noah Syndergaard

  • Syndergaard (8-9) gets the starting nod for the Phillies in his 22nd start of the season. He’s put together a 4.07 ERA in 115 innings pitched, with 85 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when the right-hander went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 30-year-old has put together a 4.07 ERA and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings across 21 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .264 to opposing hitters.
  • Syndergaard is looking to secure his ninth quality start of the season.
  • Syndergaard is trying to pick up his 17th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • The opposing Nationals offense has a collective .252 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 1168 total hits and 25th in MLB action with 532 runs scored. It has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.381) and ranks 27th in home runs (117) in all of MLB.
  • Syndergaard has a 7.2 ERA and a 2.2 WHIP against the Nationals this season in five innings pitched, allowing a .440 batting average over one appearance.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

  • The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (6-17) for his 28th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 7 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Saturday.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 6.28, a 2.565 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.700 in 27 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Corbin will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • The Phillies rank ninth in MLB with a .253 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fifth in the league (.421) and 170 home runs.
  • The Phillies have gone 13-for-27 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs and eight RBI in two games against the left-hander this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 53, or 58.9%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 11-2, a 84.6% win rate, when favored by -224 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 137 opportunities.
  • In 137 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 69-68-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 119 games this year and have walked away with the win 41 times (34.5%) in those games.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 16-25 when favored by +182 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 67 of 138 chances this season.
  • The Nationals have an against the spread record of 63-75-0 in 138 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rhys Hoskins is batting .252 with 27 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 65 walks.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Hoskins is 20th in home runs and 45th in RBI.
  • Hoskins has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with two doubles and a walk.
  • Kyle Schwarber’s 36 home runs and 78 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Schwarber ranks second in homers in the majors, and 25th in RBI.
  • J.T. Realmuto is batting .265 with 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.
  • Alec Bohm’s .292 batting average paces his team.
  • Bohm is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, a triple and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rhys Hoskins 135 .252 .342 .467 26 66 128
Kyle Schwarber 131 .211 .307 .478 36 78 104
J.T. Realmuto 117 .265 .337 .450 15 71 112
Alec Bohm 128 .292 .325 .408 10 64 144
Bryce Harper 76 .310 .385 .560 15 52 88

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cesar Hernandez leads the Nationals with a team-leading batting average of .252.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Hernandez is 394th in homers and 224th in RBI.
  • Hernandez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with a double, a triple, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
  • Nelson Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Nationals with 64 runs batted in.
  • Cruz is 162nd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 50th in RBI.
  • Keibert Ruiz is batting .251 with 22 doubles, seven home runs and 30 walks.
  • Lane Thomas is batting .246 with 22 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 31 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
César Hernández 131 .252 .315 .327 1 32 128
Nelson Cruz 121 .238 .318 .343 10 64 104
Keibert Ruiz 112 .251 .312 .360 7 36 99
Lane Thomas 123 .246 .303 .415 15 46 101
Luke Voit 111 .232 .323 .419 19 60 94

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