Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (64-51) are set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (45-69) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies are listed as -183 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Reds have +154 odds for the contest. Philadelphia’s Kyle Gibson gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s T.J. Zeuch.

Phillies vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +154 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+154) and Over (9.5)

Phillies vs. Reds Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: T.J. Zeuch
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• Gibson gets the start for the Phillies, his 23rd of the season. He is 7-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 121 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out came on Thursday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.29, with 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 22 games this season. Opponents are hitting .239 against him.
• Gibson is looking to build on a third-game quality start streak in this game.
• Gibson will try to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .239 batting average, and is 22nd in the league with 904 total hits and 20th in MLB action with 481 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 20th in home runs (106) in all of MLB.
• This season, the 34-year-old ranks 49th in ERA (4.29), 33rd in WHIP (1.175), and 51st in K/9 (6.7) among qualifying pitchers.

Reds Starter T.J. Zeuch

• The Reds will send Zeuch to the mound for his second start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs while allowing six hits against the New York Mets.
• He has pitched to a 13.50 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.5 walks per nine across one games.
• The Phillies rank eighth in MLB with 530 runs scored this season. They have a .249 batting average this campaign with 148 home runs (sixth in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 43 out of the 71 games, or 60.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 15-4 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -183 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.7% chance to win.
• So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 115 games with a total.
• The Phillies are 61-54-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 35, or 39.3%, of the 89 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 10-26 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +154 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 116 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 116 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 55-61-0 against the spread.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Phillies best power option comes in the form of Kyle Schwarber and his 34-home-run 69-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Schwarber is 140th in batting average, 104th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
• Rhys Hoskins has 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 57 walks while batting .249.
• Hoskins is 15th in home runs in the majors, and 59th in RBI.
• Hoskins heads into this matchup looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with five walks.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .261 with 17 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• Alec Bohm is batting .287 to pace his team.
• Bohm is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .182 with two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has a team-high batting average of .265 and paces the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 54.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Farmer’s home run total is 213th and his RBI tally ranks 59th.
• Farmer has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .395 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
• Joey Votto’s 11 home runs lead his team.
• Votto is 113th in home runs and 126th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Nick Senzel has 11 doubles, three home runs and 20 walks while batting .243.
• Albert Almora Jr. is hitting .227 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 13 walks.