Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-51) and Rhys Hoskins (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-160) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (45-70) on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez and Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+136) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Reds Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
• Game Time: 12:35 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• The Phillies will send Suarez (8-5) to make his 21st start of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.52 ERA and 89 strikeouts through 107 1/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out was on Friday against the New York Mets, when the lefty tossed seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.52, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opponents have a .251 batting average against him.
• Suarez heads into the outing with seven quality starts under his belt this year.
• Suarez will try to build on a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance).
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 20th in the league with 913 total hits and 20th in MLB play with 485 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 20th in home runs (108) in all of MLB.

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo (3-4) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his 11th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Thursday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.72, a 2.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.657 in 10 games this season.
• He has two quality starts in 10 chances this season.
• Lodolo has made five starts of five or more innings in 10 chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Phillies have scored 541 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 990 hits, ninth in baseball, with 153 home runs (fifth in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 72 games this season and won 44 (61.1%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has a record of 24-8 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 116 chances.
• The Phillies are 62-54-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 35, or 38.9%, of the 90 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 17 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 117 opportunities.
• The Reds are 55-62-0 against the spread in their 117 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Hoskins has 21 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 57 walks while hitting .253.
• Among all MLB hitters, Hoskins is 81st in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 22nd in slugging.
• Hoskins has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 34 home runs with 69 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 19th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• J.T. Realmuto has 17 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while batting .261.
• Alec Bohm is batting .289 to lead his team.
• Bohm is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .217 with two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Kyle Farmer with a mark of 54, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .268.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Farmer ranks 214th in home runs and 62nd in RBI.
• Farmer takes a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .425 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
• Joey Votto has launched a team-best 11 home runs.
• Votto ranks 115th in homers and 127th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Nick Senzel is hitting .243 with 11 doubles, three home runs and 20 walks.
• Albert Almora Jr. is batting .227 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 13 walks.