Phillies vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

Kyle Farmer is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Cincinnati Reds (48-72) as they get set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (67-55) on Tuesday. The Reds enter the matchup as +182 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 7:05 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo.

Phillies vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +182 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+182) and Over (8)

Phillies vs. Reds Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• Suarez gets the start for the Phillies, his 22nd of the season. He is 8-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 97 strikeouts through 114 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Wednesday, the lefty tossed seven scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds while surrendering three hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.31, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents have a .244 batting average against him.
• Suarez is looking to continue a second-game quality start streak in this outing.
• Suarez will try to last five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 956 total hits and 20th in MLB play with 510 runs scored. It has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 20th in home runs (114) in all of MLB.
• Suarez has thrown seven innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out eight against the Reds this season.

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• The Reds will hand the ball to Lodolo (3-4) for his 12th start of the season.
• The left-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 4.12, a 2.769 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.573.
• He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Lodolo has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Phillies rank eighth in MLB with 562 runs scored this season. They have a .251 batting average this campaign with 158 home runs (sixth in the league).
• The Phillies have gone 5-for-24 with a double in seven innings this season against the left-hander.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 45 (58.4%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia is 6-1 this season when entering a game favored by -220 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 68.8%.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 122 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies are 64-58-0 ATS in their 122 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 94 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (40.4%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 4-16 when favored by +182 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 35.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 61 of their 122 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 58-64-0 in 122 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 34 home runs and 71 runs batted in.
• Schwarber is second in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .246 with 22 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 60 walks.
• Hoskins is 12th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• J.T. Realmuto has 20 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .268.
• Realmuto is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .400 with three doubles and two RBI.
• Alec Bohm has a club-leading .292 batting average.
• Bohm has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with a double, two home runs and eight RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Farmer leads the Reds with 55 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .264.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Farmer ranks 220th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Nick Senzel is batting .244 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 21 walks.
• Senzel ranks 275th overall in home runs and 270th in RBI this season.
• Jonathan India is batting .245 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 14 walks.
• Mike Moustakas is hitting .210 with 11 doubles, seven home runs and 24 walks.