Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/4/2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (26-27) and Alek Thomas (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+108) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (22-28) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. Roansy Contreras takes the mound for Pittsburgh while Zach Davies is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+108) and Over (8.5)

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Roansy Contreras
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zach Davies
• Game Day: Saturday, June 4, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Pirates Starter Roansy Contreras

• The Pirates will send Contreras (1-0) to make his third start of the season.
• The righty last pitched on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he went five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
• Opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of only .188 against him this season. He has a 2.55 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings over his five appearances.
• Contreras will look to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 3.2 innings per outing.
• He will match up with a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 26th in MLB with 375 total hits (on a .218 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .385 (19th in MLB) with 64 total home runs (sixth in MLB).

Diamondbacks Starter Zach Davies

• The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Davies (2-3) for his 11th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.84, a 1.947 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.345 in 10 games this season.
• In 10 starts this season, he’s earned one quality start.
• In 10 starts this season, Davies has lasted five or more innings six times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Pirates are batting .226 this season, 27th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .358 (27th in the league) with 43 home runs.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Pirates have been favored 10 times and won six of those games.
• Pittsburgh has entered six games this season favored by -127 or more and is 5-1 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 20 of their 50 games with a total this season.
• In 50 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 25-25-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won in 22, or 44.9%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Arizona has won 18 of 43 games when listed as at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Arizona and their opponents have gone over in 26 of their 58 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 58 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 35-23-0 against the spread.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates in runs batted in (19) and has a team-best batting average of .295.
• Among all MLB batters, Hayes ranks 23rd in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and 89th in slugging.
• Hayes has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .326 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has shown off his power as he paces his team with eight home runs.
• Reynolds ranks 39th in homers and 182nd in RBI in the bigs.
• Reynolds heads into this matchup looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• Michael Chavis has six doubles, two triples, five home runs and seven walks while batting .288.
• Daniel Vogelbach has five doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks while hitting .244.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker has a team-high 14 home runs and has driven in 26 runs.
• Walker is fourth in homers and 47th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Daulton Varsho is batting .249 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 17 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Varsho ranks 39th in home runs and 98th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte paces the Diamondbacks’ lineup with a .263 batting average.
• David Peralta is hitting .245 with 10 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Betting Tips for Pirates vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +108 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.