Pirates vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/20/2022

Seeking their 48th win of the year, the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-72) are favorites (-127) on the moneyline when they take on the Cincinnati Reds (46-71) Saturday at 7:05 PM ET. Tyler Beede will get the ball for Pittsburgh while Cincinnati counter with Justin Dunn.

Pirates vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Pirates vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +107 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+107) and Over (8.5)

Pirates vs. Reds Game Info

• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Tyler Beede
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Saturday, August 20, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Pirates Starter Tyler Beede

• Beede gets the start for the Pirates, his fourth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 48 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his last outing on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, the right-hander went three innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.72 ERA and 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings across 26 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .253 to his opponents.
• He meets a Reds offense that ranks 22nd in the league with 490 runs while batting .239 as a squad. It has a collective .375 slugging percentage (25th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 110 home runs (20th in MLB).

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• The Reds will send Dunn to the mound for his third start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing seven hits against the Chicago Cubs.
• He has pitched to an 8.64 ERA this season with 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.3 walks per nine across two games.
• The Pirates rank 28th in MLB with 434 runs scored this season. They have a .222 batting average this campaign with 117 home runs (18th in the league).

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Pittsburgh has a record of 6-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -127 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.9% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of their 120 opportunities.
• The Pirates have an ATS record of 62-58-0 in 120 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 91 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (39.6%) in those games.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 31 times in 81 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 59 of their 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 56-63-0 in 119 games with a line this season.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds is the bat to watch in the Pirates lineup, leading the team in batting average (.265), home runs (20), and RBI (46).
• Including all MLB batters, Reynolds is 55th in batting average, 38th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging.
• Reynolds carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .474 with a double, four home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• Ben Gamel is batting .248 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 34 walks.
• Gamel has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, a walk and eight RBI.
• Michael Chavis has 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .246.
• Chavis has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two doubles and two RBI.
• Kevin Newman has 14 doubles, two triples and 10 walks while batting .281.
• Newman brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has a team-leading batting average of .265 and leads the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 55.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Farmer’s home run total ranks 214th and his RBI tally ranks 61st.
• Nick Senzel is batting .243 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 20 walks.
• Senzel is 273rd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 277th in RBI.
• Albert Almora Jr. is batting .226 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.
• Jonathan India has 11 doubles, eight home runs and 12 walks while hitting .244.