Player Prop Bets for the NFL Super Bowl LIII

by | Jan 29, 2019

SITPicks.com 9 Football 9 Player Prop Bets for the NFL Super Bowl LIII
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John Elway once said that you make your money with your performance during the regular season, but you make your legacy in the Super Bowl. That is why a player who excels in the Super Bowl can turn a mediocre career into a memorable one and a good player into a truly great one.

Oddsmakers recognize that this is an opportunity for a player to shine, and this is why there are a number of prop bets related to player performances in the big game. The best part of these bets is that no one is excused. Whether you are the punter, defensive end, quarterback, or cornerback, it is likely that there are odds related to how you could perform in the biggest game of the year.

Here are some of the more exciting player prop bets you can make a wager on.

Passing Yards:

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Tom Brady – over 300.5 (-120), under 300.5 (-110) – with all due respect to the Rams defense, this seems to be a low total for Brady. In his eight Super Bowl appearances, the Patriots’ superstar quarterback has averaged over 300 yards passing per game, including throwing for at least 328 in three straight Super Bowl appearances. He threw for 505 yards last year against Philadelphia, a Super Bowl record, and for 466 two seasons ago against Atlanta. Truth be told, at least 300 yards seems to be a given.

Jared Goff – over 289.5 (-115), under 289.5 (-115) – Goff had another incredible season for Los Angeles, but his playoff numbers have not been impressive. The third-year starter has completed just 58.8% of his passes for slightly less than 500 total yards in his two playoff games this season.

Passing Attempts:

Brady – over 37.5 (-115), under 37.5 (-115) – this seems to be another no-brainer. In only two of his eight Super Bowl appearances has Brady had less than 41 attempts, and none in his last five appearances.

Goff – over 36.0 (-115), under 36.0 (-115) – while Goff is not afraid to put the ball in the air, the Rams coaching staff does not ask him to throw nearly as much as Brady is asked. He threw 40 passes against New Orleans in the NFC Championship game, but had less than 30 attempts in his three previous contests. In 18 games this season, he has had as many as 36 attempts in only six of those contests.

Touchdown Passes:

Brady – over 2.0 (-130), under 2.0 (+100) – Brady has thrown at least two touchdown passes in all but two of his eight Super Bowl appearances, but he has gone over two in only three of those games. However, two of the last three Super Bowl appearances for Brady has seen him go over two touchdown tosses.
Goff – over 2.0 (-115), under 2.0 (-115) – Goff is coming off a season where he threw 32 touchdown passes, but he has just two touchdown throws in three playoff games, including just one this year.

Rushing Yards:

C.J. Anderson – over 49.5 (-105), under 49.5 (-125) – the health of Todd Gurley is a question mark for the Rams. Anderson has filled in nicely in the playoffs, getting 167 yards combined this year. If Gurley is limited to less than 15 carries in this game Anderson will get the bulk of the load.

Todd Gurley – over 70.5 (-115), under 70.5 (-115) – Gurley was an MVP candidate until an injury sidelined him for the final two games of the regular season and has limited his role in the playoffs. He has had two weeks to rest and Los Angeles could surely use his services.

Sony Michel – over 80.5 (-115), under 80.5 (-115) – Michel has had a huge postseason, rushing for 247 yards and five touchdowns in the two games.

James White – over 19.5 (-115), under 19.5 (-115) – White has only 23 yards rushing in the postseason this year, but has been huge in the passing game. It would be easy to ignore him and go with the under, but he could be the x-factor in this game.

Receiving Yards:

Brandin Cooks – over 70.5 (-115), under 70.5 (-115) – Cooks has been the deep play threat for Los Angeles in the playoffs, averaging 15.6 yards per reception and 86 yards per game.

Robert Woods – over 74.5 (-115), under 74.5 (-115) – Woods leads the Rams in receptions during the playoffs with 12, but has just 102 total receiving yards.

James White – over 55.5 (-115), under 55.5 (-115) – White has been the favorite target of Brady in the postseason, making 19 catches and is averaging 73 yards per game.

Julian Edelman – over 84.5 (-115), under 84.5 (-115) – Edelman is averaging 123.5 yards receiving per game in the playoffs, and is one of the main safety nets for Brady. He always seems to have a big game when the stakes matter most.

Rob Gronkowski – over 54.5 (-115), under 54.5 (-115) – the days of Gronkowski being an elite tight end may be over, but he is still an important target for this Patriots offense. Gronk has 104 yards receiving in the postseason.

The Long and the Short:

Here are some additional bets that you may want to get in on that are based upon who is first, what is the shortest, or what is the longest.

Longest Punt – Ryan Allen, Patriots, over 52.5; Johnny Hekker, Rams, over 54.5

Longest Completed Pass – Brady, over 37.5; Goff, over 37.5

Longest Reception:

Julian Edelman – over 23.5
Rob Gronkowski – over 21.5
Brandin Cooks – over 28.5
Robert Woods – over 25.5

Longest Field Goal – Team – Rams (-125), Patriots (+105)

Longest Field Goal – Total – over 46.5 (-130), under 46.5 (+100)

Intercept a Pass:

Stephon Gilmore – +450
Jon Johnson –  +450
Aqib Talib – +475
Jonathan Jones – +525
Lamarcus Joyner – +600
Patrick Chung – +700

Tackles: (includes both solo and assists)

Dont’a Hightower – over 3.0 (-120), under 3.0 (-110)
Mark Barron –over 5.5 (-135), under 5.5 (+105)
Patrick Chung – over 5.5 (-120), under 5.5 (-110)
Trey Flowers – over 3.5 (-115), under 3.5 (-115)
Kyle Van Noy – over 6.0 (-140),  under 6.0 (+110)
Lamarcus Joyner – over 5.0 (-120), under 5.0 (-110)
Aaron Donald – over 4.5 (-110), under 4.5 (-120)
Jon Johnson – over 7.0 (-115), under 7.0 (-115)
Cory Littleton– over 8.0 (-130), under 8.0 (+100)
Devin McCourty – over 5.5 (-115), under 5.5 (-115)
Ndamukong Suh – over 4.5 (-105), under 4.5 (-125)

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