Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

by | Jul 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

The Texas Rangers (43-53) will take on the Seattle Mariners (53-45) on Wednesday at 3:40 PM ET. Julio Rodriguez will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the underdog Mariners (-105) when the game gets underway at T-Mobile Park. Jon Gray will get the ball for Texas while Seattle counter with Marco Gonzales.

Rangers vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Rangers vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rangers -112 -105 8 -113 -107 -1.5 +147 -178

Computer Predictions for Rangers vs. Mariners

Our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at -105 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (-105) and Over (8)

Rangers vs. Mariners Game Info

  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Jon Gray
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:40 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Gray Gonzales
17 GS 19
7-4 W-L 5-10
3.48 ERA 3.74
95.2 IP 106.0
29 BB 35
105 SO 55

Rangers Starter Jon Gray

  • Gray gets the start for the Rangers, his 18th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 3.48 ERA and 105 strikeouts in 95 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last time out was on Thursday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • In 17 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.48, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .220 against him.
  • Gray is seeking his third straight quality start.
  • Gray is seeking his 14th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Mariners offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks 13th in MLB play with 109 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 22nd in MLB with 771 total hits and 23rd in MLB action scoring 402 runs.
  • Gray has thrown five innings, giving up four earned runs on three hits while striking out four against the Mariners this season.

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

  • The Mariners will send Gonzales (5-10) to the mound for his 20th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Houston Astros.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.74 and 4.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .271.
  • In 19 starts this season, he’s earned 11 quality starts.
  • Gonzales has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Rangers rank 13th in MLB with 437 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 123 home runs (eighth in the league).
  • The left-hander has allowed the Rangers to go 22-for-73 with eight doubles, two home runs and 10 RBI in 17 2/3 innings this season.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 3.74 ERA ranks 39th, 1.387 WHIP ranks 58th, and 4.7 K/9 ranks 63rd.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Rangers have been favored 37 times and won 16, or 43.2%, of those games.
  • Texas is 16-17 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
  • So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 97 games with a total.
  • In 97 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 55-42-0 ATS.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have come away with 25 wins in the 58 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Seattle has won 20 of 50 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Seattle and their opponents have gone over in 46 of their 98 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mariners are 50-48-0 against the spread in their 98 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Corey Seager has put up a team-best 23 home runs.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Seager’s home run total ranks him ninth, and his RBI tally puts him 26th.
  • Marcus Semien has 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 33 walks while batting .239.
  • Semien is 59th in homers and 58th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Adolis Garcia has sent home a team-best 61 runs batted in.
  • Garcia is on an eight-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with three doubles, three home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
  • Nate Lowe’s .272 batting average leads his team.
  • Lowe brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with two doubles, two home runs and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Corey Seager 93 .246 .323 .472 23 53 89
Marcus Semien 95 .239 .300 .397 13 46 92
Adolis García 92 .251 .296 .473 18 61 92
Nate Lowe 91 .272 .321 .442 14 42 94
Jonah Heim 75 .258 .316 .460 12 35 64

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rodriguez has a team-leading 17 home runs and has driven in 53 runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Rodriguez’s home run total is 29th and his RBI tally ranks 26th.
  • Rodriguez brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, two home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
  • Ty France has a club-high .309 batting average.
  • France ranks 59th in home runs and 36th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .264 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 34 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez is batting .237 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 92 .277 .340 .486 17 53 97
Ty France 84 .309 .382 .480 13 51 103
J.P. Crawford 87 .264 .340 .376 5 26 87
Eugenio Suárez 97 .237 .337 .431 16 51 84
Jesse Winker 89 .227 .338 .344 8 35 72

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