Rangers vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

by | Jun 28, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rangers vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

The Kansas City Royals (26-46) will try to end their three-game losing streak when they host the Texas Rangers (35-37) on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Rangers to be -146 favorites for the contest, while the Royals are +126 underdogs looking for the upset. Jon Gray will get the ball for Texas while Kansas City counter with Jonathan Heasley.

Rangers vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Rangers vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rangers -146 +126 9 -107 -113 -1.5 +113 -135

Computer Predictions for Rangers vs. Royals

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +126. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+126) and Over (9)

Rangers vs. Royals Game Info

  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Jon Gray
  • Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley
  • Game Day: Tuesday, June 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Gray Heasley
12 GS 8
3-3 W-L 1-3
4.18 ERA 4.14
64.2 IP 41.1
23 BB 22
68 SO 32

Rangers Starter Jon Gray

  • Gray (3-3) takes the mound for the Rangers in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.18 ERA in 64 2/3 innings pitched, with 68 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the righty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • In 12 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.18, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .222 against him.
  • Gray has four quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Gray is aiming for his ninth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance on the mound.
  • He meets a Royals offense that ranks 27th in the league with 278 runs while batting .237 as a unit. It has a collective .370 slugging percentage (27th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 57 home runs (27th in MLB).

Royals Starter Jonathan Heasley

  • The Royals will send Jon Heasley (1-3) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.14, a 1.455 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.379 in eight games this season.
  • He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • Heasley has made six starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
  • The Rangers rank 19th in MLB with a .237 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 16th in the league (.391) and 91 home runs.
  • The Rangers have gone 4-for-14 with an RBI in 3 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Rangers have been favored 24 times and won 11, or 45.8%, of those games.
  • Texas has entered five games this season favored by -146 or more and is 1-4 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 59.3% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of their 73 games with a total.
  • The Rangers have an ATS record of 42-31-0 in 73 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (37.1%) in those games.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious 12 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Kansas City have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 35 of 75 chances this season.
  • In 75 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 31-44-0 against the spread.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Adolis Garcia is the Rangers best power option, hitting 15 round-trippers this season in addition to accumulating 48 RBI, both team highs.
  • Garcia’s home runs put him 19th in the majors, and he is 13th in RBI.
  • Garcia takes a hitting streak of nine games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .300 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and seven RBI.
  • Corey Seager’s 15 home runs pace his team.
  • Of all major league hitters, Seager is 19th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
  • Seager carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Marcus Semien is hitting .224 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks.
  • Nate Lowe has a club-leading .284 batting average.
  • Lowe has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Adolis GarcĂ­a 70 .255 .293 .486 15 48 71
Corey Seager 70 .227 .299 .422 15 33 63
Marcus Semien 71 .224 .285 .343 7 28 64
Nate Lowe 67 .284 .335 .452 10 32 71
Jonah Heim 53 .250 .309 .472 10 29 44

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has a team-leading 11 home runs and has driven in 38 runs.
  • Witt Jr.’s home run total places him 49th in the majors, and he is 42nd in RBI.
  • Whit Merrifield has 16 doubles, three home runs and 22 walks while batting .226.
  • Among all major league hitters, Merrifield ranks 240th in homers and 84th in RBI.
  • Andrew Benintendi leads the Royals with a team-best batting average of .299.
  • Hunter Dozier is hitting .258 with 14 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bobby Witt Jr. 70 .243 .292 .463 11 38 65
Whit Merrifield 72 .226 .274 .311 3 32 67
Andrew Benintendi 71 .299 .367 .388 3 26 80
Hunter Dozier 64 .258 .324 .424 7 22 61
Michael A. Taylor 53 .276 .356 .412 5 21 47

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