Rangers vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

by | Jul 10, 2022

Led by Corey Seager (two-game homer streak), the Texas Rangers (39-43) are favorites versus the Minnesota Twins (47-40) Sunday at 2:35 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Rangers as -119 favorites for the game. Texas’ Dane Dunning and Minnesota’s Dylan Bundy have been named the starters for this contest.

Rangers vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Rangers vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rangers -119 +101 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +133 -123

Computer Predictions for Rangers vs. Twins

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +101. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+101) and Over (8.5)

Rangers vs. Twins Game Info

  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:35 PM ET
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: Globe Life Field

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Dunning Bundy
17 GS 14
1-6 W-L 4-4
4.15 ERA 4.50
93.1 IP 70.0
33 BB 14
82 SO 53

Rangers Starter Dane Dunning

  • The Rangers will send Dunning (1-6) out for his 18th start of the season. He is 1-6 with a 4.15 ERA and 82 strikeouts through 93 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Monday against the Baltimore Orioles, the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.15, with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are hitting .256 against him.
  • Dunning is looking to pick up his eighth quality start of the season.
  • Dunning will aim to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The opposing Twins offense has a collective .253 batting average, and is fourth in the league with 743 total hits and sixth in MLB action with 398 runs scored. It has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.423) and ranks sixth in home runs (109) in all of MLB.
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks 49th in ERA (4.15), 52nd in WHIP (1.339), and 36th in K/9 (7.9) among qualifying pitchers.

Twins Starter Dylan Bundy

  • The Twins will send Bundy (4-4) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 4.50, a 3.786 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.257.
  • In 14 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
  • Bundy has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Rangers rank 15th in MLB with 367 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 109 home runs (sixth in the league).

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 29 games this season and won 13 (44.8%) of those contests.
  • Texas has entered 22 games this season favored by -119 or more and is 11-11 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 37 of their 83 chances.
  • In 83 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 48-35-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (41.2%) in those games.
  • Minnesota has a win-loss record of 10-18 when favored by +101 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 88 opportunities.
  • The Twins are 41-47-0 against the spread in their 88 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Seager’s 18 dingers in 2022 are the most on the Rangers. He’s also knocked in 43 runs while hitting .241.
  • Seager is 17th in home runs and 45th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Seager carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .474 with three home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
  • Marcus Semien is batting .238 with 13 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Semien is 63rd in homers in MLB, and 68th in RBI.
  • Adolis Garcia has a team-high 51 runs batted in.
  • Nate Lowe is batting .281 to pace his team.
Corey Seager 80 .241 .315 .444 18 43 76
Marcus Semien 81 .238 .294 .390 11 39 78
Adolis García 79 .248 .288 .468 15 51 78
Nate Lowe 77 .281 .334 .451 12 37 81
Jonah Heim 63 .257 .310 .471 12 31 54

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a .355 batting average.
  • Arraez’s home run total puts him 230th in the big leagues, and he ranks 146th in RBI.
  • Arraez has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .415 with six doubles, a walk and two RBI.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .241 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Kepler is 96th in homers and 76th in RBI.
  • Byron Buxton has 22 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Twins with 44 runs batted in.
Luis Arraez 77 .355 .426 .457 4 29 100
Max Kepler 76 .241 .349 .397 9 37 62
Byron Buxton 66 .215 .293 .543 22 41 53
Jorge Polanco 68 .241 .337 .423 12 44 61
Gio Urshela 78 .267 .313 .415 8 35 72

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