Rangers vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

Luis Arraez is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Minnesota Twins (47-39) as they get set to take on the Texas Rangers (38-43) on Saturday. The Twins enter the matchup as -100 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Globe Life Field at 4:05 PM ET. Texas’ Martin Perez gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Devin Smeltzer.

Rangers vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rangers vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at -100 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (-100) and Under (8.5)

Rangers vs. Twins Game Info

• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
• Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Arlington, Texas
• Stadium: Globe Life Field

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Rangers Starter Martín Pérez

• Perez (7-2) gets the starting nod for the Rangers in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.34 ERA in 100 innings pitched, with 81 strikeouts.
• In his most recent outing on Saturday against the New York Mets, the left-hander threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 31-year-old has a 2.34 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .241 to opposing hitters.
• Pérez has 12 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Pérez will try to continue a 15-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
• He will take the hill against a Twins squad that is batting .253 as a unit (sixth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .421 (sixth in MLB) with 107 total home runs (seventh in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 31-year-old’s 2.34 ERA ranks eighth, 1.160 WHIP ranks 32nd, and 7.3 K/9 ranks 49th.

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

• Smeltzer (4-2) will take to the mound for the Twins and make his 11th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 3.04 ERA this season with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 10 games.
• He’s going for his fourth quality start in a row.
• Smeltzer has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Rangers have scored 358 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They are batting .238 for the campaign with 106 home runs, ninth in the league.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have won 12, or 42.9%, of the 28 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Texas has a record of 11-11, a 50% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 54.1% chance to win.
• Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of their 82 opportunities.
• The Rangers are 47-35-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have won in 14, or 42.4%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Minnesota has won 10 of 27 games when listed as at least -100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 87 opportunities.
• The Twins have posted a record of 41-46-0 against the spread this season.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Corey Seager’s 17 homers in 2022 are the most on the Rangers. He’s also driven in 42 runs while hitting .237.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Seager ranks 18th in home runs and 48th in RBI.
• Adolis Garcia’s 51 runs batted in lead his team.
• Of all MLB hitters, Garcia ranks 30th in homers and 18th in RBI.
• Marcus Semien is batting .235 with 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 25 walks.
• Nate Lowe’s .284 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Lowe brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBI.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .352.
• In all of MLB, Arraez is 230th in home runs and 146th in RBI.
• Arraez has collected a hit in eight straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .409 with six doubles, a triple, two walks and three RBI.
• Max Kepler is hitting .238 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 40 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Kepler is 93rd in home runs and 74th in RBI.
• Byron Buxton leads the Twins with 22 long balls.
• Jorge Polanco has put up a team-leading 44 runs batted in.