Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/24/2022

The Miami Marlins (18-22) enter Tuesday’s matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (24-17) following their 1-2 series defeat to the Braves. The Rays, coming off of a series loss against the Orioles, are listed as -155 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at Tropicana Field, starting at 6:40 PM ET. Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Pablo Lopez.

Rays vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+135) and Over (6.5)

Rays vs. Marlins Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 24, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Shane McClanahan

• The Rays will send McClanahan (3-2) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 65 strikeouts through 46 1/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander’s last appearance came on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.33, with 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents have a .181 batting average against him.
• McClanahan is looking to earn his third quality start in a row in this outing.
• McClanahan will try to extend a seven-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Marlins offense has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.395) and is 15th in MLB play with 40 home runs. It has a collective .244 batting average, and is ninth in MLB with 328 total hits and 16th in MLB action scoring 168 runs.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 25-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (2.33), fourth in WHIP (.863), and second in K/9 (12.6).

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• The Marlins will send Lopez (4-1) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in three innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.76, a 4.364 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .913 in eight games this season.
• He has earned a quality start four times in eight starts this season.
• Lopez has made six starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Rays rank 14th in MLB with a .239 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 15th in the league (.387) and 42 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 26-year-old’s 1.76 ERA ranks sixth, .913 WHIP ranks seventh, and 9.4 K/9 ranks 19th.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Rays have won 19 out of the 31 games, or 61.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Tampa Bay is 9-6 this season when entering a game favored by -155 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
• Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 19 of their 41 chances.
• The Rays are 20-21-0 ATS in their 41 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +135 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 42.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 19 of 40 chances this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 21-19-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Wander Franco is batting .261 with nine doubles, a triple, four home runs and seven walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Franco ranks 59th in batting average, 127th in on-base percentage, and 73rd in slugging.
• Yandy Diaz is batting .282 to lead his team.
• Including all MLB hitters, Diaz ranks 134th in home runs and 203rd in RBI.
• Diaz heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two walks and an RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .258 with 10 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 11 walks.
• Arozarena is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .474 with three home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
• Kevin Kiermaier’s five home runs are a team-high mark.
• Kiermaier brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .478 with a double, two home runs and five RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm has recorded a team-best batting average of .290 and leads the Marlins in runs batted in with a mark of 27.
• In all of the majors, Chisholm ranks 31st in home runs and 14th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler has shown off his power as he paces his team with eight home runs.
• Soler is 23rd overall in home runs and 41st in RBI this season.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .277 with six doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.
• Garrett Cooper is batting .256 with 10 doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.

Betting Tips for Rays vs. Marlins

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +135. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.