Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (70-57) will look to Isaac Paredes, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Miami Marlins (55-73) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Rays are -233 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Shane McClanahan will get the ball for Tampa Bay while Miami counter with Jesus Luzardo.

Rays vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Marlins

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +189. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+189) and Over (6.5)

Rays vs. Marlins Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Shane McClanahan

• McClanahan gets the start for the Rays, his 25th of the season. He is 11-5 with a 2.20 ERA and 182 strikeouts in 147 1/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander last appeared on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed six scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.20, with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .185 against him.
• McClanahan is aiming for his fourth straight quality start.
• McClanahan is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.364) and is 23rd in MLB play with 114 home runs. It has a collective .230 batting average, and is 24th in MLB with 980 total hits and 27th in MLB action scoring 465 runs.
• In six innings over one appearance against the Marlins this season, McClanahan has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .211.
• The 25-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.20), second in WHIP (.862), and fourth in K/9 (11.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

• The Marlins will send Luzardo (3-5) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw seven innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 3.34 and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .171.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Luzardo has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Rays have scored 541 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They have 1022 hits, 19th in baseball, with 116 home runs (22nd in the league).

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have won 52, or 60.5%, of the 86 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Tampa Bay has a record of 4-2 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -233 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 70% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 59 of their 127 chances.
• In 127 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 61-66-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 24 wins in the 75 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win one times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +189 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 34.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 55 of their 128 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 58-70-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Rays best hitter so far this season is Yandy Diaz, who’s hitting at a team-leading .280 rate along with eight homers and 47 RBI.
• Diaz’s home runs put him 173rd in MLB, and he is 109th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .381 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 69 runs batted in.
• Arozarena ranks 54th in homers and 30th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Arozarena enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with four doubles, two walks and three RBI.
• Paredes leads the Rays with 18 home runs.
• Paredes will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• David Peralta is hitting .255 with 25 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 34 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the Marlins with a .232 batting average.
• In all of the big leagues, Rojas is 227th in home runs and 217th in RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .255 with 14 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 34 walks.
• Berti ranks 341st in homers and 294th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Garrett Cooper is batting .260 with 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 33 walks.
• Joey Wendle has 18 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks while batting .257.