Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

by | Aug 31, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rays vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (71-57) will meet the Miami Marlins (55-74) on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. Harold Ramirez will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the favored Rays (-173) when the game gets underway at loanDepot park. Miami has not named a starting pitcher for this contest, while Tampa Bay is projected to send Drew Rasmussen to the mound.

Rays vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -173 +148 7 -105 -115 -1.5 +105 -126

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +148 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+148) and Over (7)

Rays vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

  • Rasmussen will look to secure his 10th win when he makes the start for the Rays, his 23rd of the season. He is 9-4 with a 2.77 ERA and 99 strikeouts through 110 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In 22 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 2.77 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .221 to his opponents.
  • Rasmussen enters this outing with five quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Rasmussen has pitched five or more innings in a game 14 times this season heading into this game.
  • He will match up with a Marlins team that is hitting .230 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .364 (27th in MLB) with 114 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
  • Rasmussen has pitched five innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits while striking out seven against the Marlins this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 53 (60.9%) of those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 35 games this season favored by -173 or more and is 25-10 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 63.4% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 128 games with a total.
  • The Rays have an ATS record of 62-66-0 in 128 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 76 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (31.6%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a mark of 2-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +148 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 129 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Marlins have posted a record of 58-71-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a team-high batting average of .283.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Diaz is 175th in homers and 106th in RBI.
  • Diaz has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .400 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena has hit 18 home runs with 70 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Arozarena ranks 49th in homers in the majors, and 29th in RBI.
  • Arozarena carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 18 home runs.
  • Paredes is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with three home runs, four walks and five RBI.
  • Ramirez is batting .327 with 18 doubles, five home runs and 16 walks.
  • Ramirez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .273 with six RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 115 .283 .389 .416 8 48 115
Randy Arozarena 123 .267 .336 .457 18 70 125
Isaac Paredes 81 .225 .306 .484 18 40 58
Harold Ramirez 91 .327 .366 .438 5 47 97
David Peralta 108 .255 .321 .443 12 49 91

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Miguel Rojas leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .230.
  • Rojas ranks 229th in home runs and 220th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Jon Berti is batting .255 with 14 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 34 walks.
  • Berti ranks 344th overall in home runs and 296th in RBI this year.
  • Garrett Cooper is hitting .257 with 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 33 walks.
  • Joey Wendle has 19 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks while hitting .256.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Miguel Rojas 113 .230 .277 .324 6 31 90
Jon Berti 74 .255 .347 .351 2 20 64
Garrett Cooper 99 .257 .332 .401 7 42 88
Joey Wendle 79 .256 .297 .355 2 27 70
Brian Anderson 70 .238 .335 .379 6 19 56

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