Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (50-41) and the Baltimore Orioles (46-45) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Rays are -158 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Orioles (+134). Corey Kluber will get the ball for Tampa Bay while Baltimore counter with Jordan Lyles.

Rays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +134 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+134) and Over (7.5)

Rays vs. Orioles Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Corey Kluber
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Corey Kluber

• Kluber (5-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 88 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rays, his 18th of the season.
• In his last outing on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 36-year-old has an ERA of 3.58, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are batting .245 against him.
• Kluber is trying to notch his third straight quality start in this game.
• Kluber is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face an Orioles offense that ranks 19th in the league with 381 runs while batting .232 as a unit. It has a collective .385 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 93 home runs (16th in MLB).
• Kluber has a 2.63 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP against the Orioles this season in 13 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .231 batting average over three appearances.

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

• The Orioles’ Lyles (6-7) will make his 19th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in 7 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs.
• The 31-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 4.46, a 2.688 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.381.
• He’s going for his fourth quality start in a row.
• Lyles will look to pitch five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
• The Rays rank 18th in MLB with a .239 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 21st in the league (.380) and 83 home runs.
• The right-hander has faced the Rays one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-19 with a double, a triple, a home run and five RBI in five innings.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 31-year-old’s 4.46 ERA ranks 57th, 1.381 WHIP ranks 55th, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 44th.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 62 games this season and won 37 (59.7%) of those contests.
• Tampa Bay is 17-7 this season when entering a game favored by -158 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.2% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 44 of their 91 chances.
• In 91 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 41-50-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been victorious in 39, or 47.6%, of the 82 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 19 times in 46 chances when named as an underdog of at least +134 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 92 opportunities.
• The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 61-31-0 in 92 games with a line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Rays best hitter so far this season is Yandy Diaz, who’s hitting at a team-leading .294 rate along with three homers and 26 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Diaz is 261st in home runs and 169th in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 41 RBI.
• Of all MLB hitters, Arozarena is 72nd in homers and 68th in RBI.
• Harold Ramirez is hitting .329 with 16 doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Ramirez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double and an RBI.
• Ji-Man Choi’s 41 runs batted in are a team-high mark.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins is batting .260 with 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 27 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .321.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Mullins’ home run total is 149th and his RBI tally ranks 95th.
• Austin Hays has 22 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 20 walks while hitting .264.
• Hays ranks 72nd overall in homers and 53rd in RBI this year.
• Anthony Santander has been solid source of run production for the Orioles with 15 long balls and 46 runs batted in.
• Ryan Mountcastle has driven in the most runs for the Orioles with 46 runs batted in.