Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/26/2022

Cedric Mullins is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Baltimore Orioles (48-48) as they get set to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (52-44) on Tuesday. The Orioles enter the matchup as +170 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 PM ET. Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan and Baltimore’s Spenser Watkins have been named the starters for this contest.

Rays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +170 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+170) and Over (8)

Rays vs. Orioles Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Shane McClanahan

• McClanahan (10-3) takes the mound for the Rays in his 19th start of the season. He has a 1.71 ERA in 110 2/3 innings pitched, with 147 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Wednesday, July 13 against the Boston Red Sox, the lefty threw 6 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.71, with 12 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are hitting .176 against him.
• McClanahan is looking to register his 13th quality start in a row in this outing.
• McClanahan is looking for his 17th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and is 16th in MLB play with 97 home runs. It has a collective .234 batting average, and is 23rd in MLB with 759 total hits and 21st in MLB action scoring 403 runs.
• McClanahan has pitched 4 1/3 innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out seven against the Orioles this season.
• This season, the 25-year-old ranks first in ERA (1.71), first in WHIP (.795), and second in K/9 (12) among pitchers who qualify.

Orioles Starter Spenser Watkins

• The Orioles’ Watkins (3-1) will make his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, July 14, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.93, a 1.55 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.367 in 12 games this season.
• In 12 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Watkins has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Rays have scored 401 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 769 hits, 19th in baseball, with 88 home runs (23rd in the league).
• The Rays have gone 3-for-3 with three RBI in zero innings this season against the right-hander.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 39 (59.1%) of those contests.
• Tampa Bay is 5-4 this season when entering a game favored by -203 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 67% chance to win.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 96 opportunities.
• The Rays are 43-53-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been victorious in 41, or 47.1%, of the 87 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win nine times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +170 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 37% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Baltimore have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 97 chances this season.
• The Orioles are 64-33-0 against the spread in their 97 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz’s .294 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes four homers and driven in 30 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Diaz is 251st in homers and 168th in RBI.
• Diaz carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has totaled 44 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Arozarena ranks 70th in home runs in baseball, and 67th in RBI.
• Arozarena has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Ji-Man Choi is batting .266 with 16 doubles, seven home runs and 39 walks.
• Isaac Paredes has hit 13 home runs to pace his team.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Mullins is batting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• In all of the big leagues, Mullins is 162nd in homers and 88th in RBI.
• Mullins takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .316 with three walks and three RBI.
• Austin Hays has 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .265.
• Hays is currently 70th in home runs and 53rd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Anthony Santander paces the Orioles in home runs (16) and runs batted in (50).
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .258 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks.