Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (52-45) will try to put a stop to their current four-game losing streak when they visit the Baltimore Orioles (49-48) at 7:05 PM ET Wednesday. Bookmakers consider the Rays to be -125 favorites to end their skid, while the Orioles are +105 underdogs looking for the upset. Drew Rasmussen will get the ball for Tampa Bay while Baltimore counter with Tyler Wells.

Rays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +105 after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+105) and Over (8)

Rays vs. Orioles Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

• Rasmussen (6-3) takes the mound for the Rays in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.13 ERA in 77 2/3 innings pitched, with 66 strikeouts.
• His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing seven hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.13, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents have a .237 batting average against him.
• Rasmussen has collected three quality starts this season.
• Rasmussen will try to continue a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing).
• He meets an Orioles offense that ranks 21st in the league with 408 runs while batting .233 as a squad. It has a collective .387 slugging percentage (18th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 100 home runs (15th in MLB).
• Rasmussen has pitched four innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out three against the Orioles this season.

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

• The Orioles will send Wells (7-6) to the mound for his 20th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.69, a 2.739 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.096 in 19 games this season.
• In 19 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
• Wells has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Rays have scored 404 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 781 hits, 18th in baseball, with 89 home runs (23rd in the league).
• The Rays have gone 11-for-46 with four doubles, two home runs and 10 RBI in 12 innings this season against the right-hander.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 39 (58.2%) of those contests.
• Tampa Bay has entered 59 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 35-24 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• Games involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 47 of 97 chances this season.
• The Rays have an ATS record of 43-54-0 in 97 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been underdogs in 88 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (47.7%) in those contests.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 34-41 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
• Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in 44 of their 98 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Orioles have posted a record of 65-33-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz’s .289 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes four homers and driven in 30 RBI.
• Diaz’s home runs rank him 248th in MLB, and he is 166th in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena’s 45 runs batted in lead his team.
• Arozarena is 69th in home runs and 63rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Arozarena carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
• Isaac Paredes paces the Rays with 14 home runs.
• Ji-Man Choi has 16 doubles, seven home runs and 39 walks while batting .266.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins is hitting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 31 walks.
• In all of the majors, Mullins is 141st in home runs and 84th in RBI.
• Mullins carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Anthony Santander has hit 17 home runs with 51 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Santander ranks 29th in home runs and 36th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Austin Hays is hitting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 22 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks while batting .255.