Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/13/2022

by | Aug 13, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/13/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (59-53) are +157 underdogs for their matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (58-53) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. Ryan Mountcastle has 98 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Tropicana Field. Shane McClanahan starts for Tampa Bay while DL Hall is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -182 +157 7 +100 -120 -1.5 +128 -150

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Orioles

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +157. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+157) and Over (7)

Rays vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: DL Hall
  • Game Day: Saturday, August 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

McClanahan Hall
21 GS 0
10-5 W-L 0-0
2.24 ERA
128.1 IP 0
23 BB 0
161 SO 0

Rays Starter Shane McClanahan

  • McClanahan makes the start for the Rays, his 22nd of the season. He is 10-5 with a 2.24 ERA and 161 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, the left-hander went 6 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In 21 games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.24, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .184 against him.
  • McClanahan has 15 quality starts under his belt this season.
  • McClanahan will look to record his 19th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • He will take the mound against an Orioles offense that ranks 19th in MLB with 906 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .395 (13th in MLB) with 117 total home runs (15th in MLB).
  • In 11 1/3 innings over two appearances against the Orioles this season, McClanahan has a 1.59 ERA and a 0.794 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .158.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 25-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.24), first in WHIP (.834), and fourth in K/9 (11.3).

Orioles Starter DL Hall

  • Hall will make his first start of the season for the Orioles.
  • This will be the first MLB start for the 23-year-old left-hander.
  • The Rays are batting .237 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .376 (24th in the league) with 100 home runs.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have won 43, or 57.3%, of the 75 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 13-8, a 61.9% win rate, when favored by -182 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 64.5%.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 111 chances.
  • In 111 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 50-61-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 12 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 38.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 113 opportunities.
  • In 113 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 76-37-0 against the spread.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz has put up a team-best batting average of .274.
  • Diaz’s home runs place him 208th in the majors, and he is 157th in RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena has shown off his power as he leads his team with 14 home runs and 54 RBI.
  • Arozarena is 69th in homers in the majors, and 54th in RBI.
  • Arozarena has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • David Peralta is batting .252 with 21 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Isaac Paredes’ 14 home runs pace his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 99 .274 .389 .388 6 36 94
Randy Arozarena 106 .256 .315 .428 14 54 104
David Peralta 96 .252 .314 .446 12 44 79
Isaac Paredes 67 .217 .289 .456 14 31 47
Ji-Man Choi 82 .245 .347 .392 8 46 67

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .266.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Mullins is 132nd in homers and 74th in RBI.
  • Mullins has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 20 home runs and 60 RBI.
  • Among all major league batters, Santander is 28th in homers and 29th in RBI.
  • Austin Hays is hitting .263 with 25 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Mountcastle is batting .255 with 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 110 .266 .324 .399 10 48 116
Anthony Santander 104 .263 .342 .463 20 60 103
Austin Hays 100 .263 .320 .437 13 49 100
Ryan Mountcastle 98 .255 .299 .435 15 55 98
Jorge Mateo 104 .230 .277 .404 11 36 79

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