Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (59-54) are +138 moneyline underdogs Sunday despite their plans to send Jordan Lyles to the mound to face the Tampa Bay Rays (59-53). Lyles will be seeking win No. 10 win against the odds, with first pitch slated for 1:40 PM ET. Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Lyles.

Rays vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Orioles

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +138. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+138) and Over (7.5)

Rays vs. Orioles Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

• Rasmussen (6-4 with a 2.96 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 91 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rays, his 20th of the season.
• In his last time out on Sunday, the right-hander went 3 2/3 scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers without surrendering a hit.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.96, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .238 batting average against him.
• Rasmussen has recorded four quality starts this year.
• Rasmussen has 11 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will match up with an Orioles offense that is hitting .240 as a unit (19th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .394 (14th in MLB) with 117 total home runs (15th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Orioles this season, Rasmussen has thrown 8 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on nine hits while striking out seven.

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

• The Orioles’ Lyles (9-8) will make his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday.
• The 31-year-old has pitched to a 4.35 ERA this season with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3 walks per nine across 23 games.
• He has earned a quality start nine times in 23 starts this season.
• Lyles has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Rays rank 23rd in MLB with 460 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 101 home runs (24th in the league).
• The Rays have gone 16-for-52 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 RBI in three games against the right-hander this season.
• The 31-year-old ranks 52nd in ERA (4.35), 59th in WHIP (1.442), and 45th in K/9 (7.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 44, or 57.9%, of those games.
• This season, Tampa Bay has won 21 of its 31 games, or 67.7%, when favored by at least -162 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of their 112 games with a total this season.
• The Rays are 51-61-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 98 games this year and have walked away with the win 48 times (49%) in those games.
• This year, Baltimore has won 21 of 49 games when listed as at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of their 114 opportunities.
• The Orioles are 76-38-0 against the spread in their 114 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Rays best hitter thus far this season is Yandy Diaz, who’s hitting at a team-leading .273 rate along with six homers and 36 RBI.
• Diaz’s home runs rank him 209th in MLB, and he ranks 159th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .158 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has hit 14 home runs with 55 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
• Arozarena is 72nd in home runs in the majors, and 51st in RBI.
• Arozarena has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• David Peralta is batting .252 with 21 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
• Isaac Paredes’ 14 home runs lead his team.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .266.
• Mullins ranks 132nd in home runs and 77th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Mullins carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Anthony Santander been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 20 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB hitters, Santander is 29th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
• Austin Hays is batting .260 with 25 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .253 with 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 25 walks.