Rays vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/25/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (38-32), led by Isaac Paredes on a two-game home run streak, are -191 favorites on the moneyline to defeat Michael Chavis (homers in two straight contests) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (29-41). First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET on Saturday, live from Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay’s Corey Kluber gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s JT Brubaker.

Rays vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +162 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+162) and Over (7.5)

Rays vs. Pirates Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Corey Kluber
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Saturday, June 25, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Corey Kluber

• The Rays will send Kluber (3-4) out to make his 14th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.46 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 67 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 13 games this season, the 36-year-old has amassed a 3.46 ERA and 8 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .244 to opposing hitters.
• Kluber is looking to build upon a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Kluber will try to go five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .220 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 502 total hits and 28th in MLB play with 256 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.363) and ranks 17th in home runs (70) in all of MLB.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will send Brubaker (1-7) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
• The right-hander allowed five hits in 6 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Monday.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.11 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4 walks per nine across 14 games.
• He has started 14 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Brubaker has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Rays rank 26th in MLB with 282 runs scored this season. They have a .231 batting average this campaign with 66 home runs (21st in the league).
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 28-year-old’s 4.11 ERA ranks 48th, 1.429 WHIP ranks 59th, and 9 K/9 ranks 23rd.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Rays have been favored 50 times and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
• Tampa Bay has entered 10 games this season favored by -191 or more and is 6-4 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.6% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of their 70 opportunities.
• In 70 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 32-38-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 20, or 37%, of the 54 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won eight of 19 games when listed as at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of their 70 opportunities.
• The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 32-38-0 in 70 games with a line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz’s .258 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes three homers and driven in 15 RBI.
• Diaz’s home runs rank him 237th in MLB, and he is 247th in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 14 walks.
• Arozarena is 100th in home runs and 83rd in RBI in the bigs.
• Arozarena carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .150 with .
• Ji-Man Choi paces the Rays with 34 runs batted in.
• Harold Ramirez is batting .305 with nine doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
• Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds has a team-high 12 home runs.
• In all of MLB, Reynolds is 39th in home runs and 156th in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes’ .264 batting average leads his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Hayes ranks 237th in homers and 150th in RBI.
• Chavis has a team-best 25 runs batted in.
• Daniel Vogelbach has seven doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 23 walks while hitting .215.