Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/14/2022

by | Jul 14, 2022

Xander Bogaerts is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Boston Red Sox (47-42) as they get set to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (48-40) on Thursday. The Red Sox enter the matchup as +110 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Tropicana Field at 7:10 PM ET. Drew Rasmussen starts for Tampa Bay while Kutter Crawford is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -130 +110 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +160 -180

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Red Sox

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +110. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+110) and Over (7.5)

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
  • Game Day: Thursday, July 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Rasmussen Crawford
14 GS 3
5-3 W-L 2-2
3.10 ERA 4.50
66.2 IP 30.0
20 BB 15
57 SO 38

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

  • The Rays are sending Rasmussen (5-3) out for his 15th start of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.10 ERA and 57 strikeouts through 66 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out was on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the righty threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.10, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are batting .234 against him.
  • Rasmussen is looking to pick up his third quality start of the year in this game.
  • Rasmussen will try to record his ninth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.413) and ranks 20th in MLB play with 85 home runs. It has a collective .259 batting average, and is first in MLB with 799 total hits and fifth in MLB action scoring 418 runs.

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

  • The Red Sox will hand the ball to Crawford (2-2) for his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 4.50 ERA this season with 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.5 walks per nine across 12 games.
  • Crawford will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • The Rays have scored 367 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 703 hits, 17th in baseball, with 81 home runs (23rd in the league).
  • The Rays have gone 3-for-29 in 8 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 35 out of the 59 games, or 59.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has won 30 of its 49 games, or 61.2%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 88 games with a total.
  • The Rays have an ATS record of 41-47-0 in 88 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (43.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, Boston has won 10 of 25 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 89 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 48-41-0 against the spread.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz paces the Rays with a team-high batting average of .303.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Diaz is 263rd in homers and 190th in RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena’s 40 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Arozarena is 87th in home runs and 68th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Harold Ramirez is hitting .332 with 15 doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
  • Ramirez will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .425 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and nine RBI.
  • Ji-Man Choi has collected 40 runs batted in to lead his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 80 .303 .414 .402 3 24 82
Randy Arozarena 85 .248 .308 .413 10 40 81
Harold Ramirez 74 .332 .378 .450 4 36 76
Ji-Man Choi 63 .281 .393 .453 7 40 57
Isaac Paredes 48 .235 .302 .536 13 28 36

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers has recorded a team- leading batting average of .325, and paces the Red Sox in long balls with 19.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Devers is 15th in home runs and 21st in RBI.
  • Devers carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • Bogaerts is batting .314 with 23 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
  • Bogaerts is 146th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 91st in RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo has 18 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks while hitting .269.
  • J.D. Martinez has 29 doubles, nine home runs and 30 walks while batting .309.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 82 .325 .381 .587 19 51 108
Xander Bogaerts 85 .314 .391 .454 7 36 99
Alex Verdugo 82 .269 .314 .381 6 47 86
J.D. Martínez 77 .309 .375 .493 9 38 94
Trevor Story 81 .221 .289 .423 15 58 68

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