Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/7/2022

The Boston Red Sox (67-70 look to avoid the sweep when they visit the Tampa Bay Rays (76-58) in the final game of a three-game set. Oddsmakers have listed the Rays as -157 favorites, while the Red Sox are +135 underdogs to pick up a win. Jeffrey Springs will get the ball for Tampa Bay while Boston counter with Nick Pivetta.

Rays vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Red Sox

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +135. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+135) and Over (7)

Rays vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 7, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Rays Starter Jeffrey Springs

• Springs gets the start for the Rays, his 20th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 117 strikeouts in 106 2/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty’s most recent time out came on Friday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.62, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 27 games this season. Opponents have a .231 batting average against him.
• Springs heads into the game with four quality starts under his belt this year.
• Springs will try to go five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 3.3 frames per outing.
• He will face a Red Sox offense that ranks first in MLB with 1225 total hits (on a .259 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .411 (eighth in MLB) with 130 total home runs (19th in MLB).
• Springs has thrown 12 innings, giving up eight earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 15 against the Red Sox this season.

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

• The Red Sox will hand the ball to Pivetta (9-10) for his 28th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 4.37 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .250.
• In 27 starts this season, he’s earned 12 quality starts.
• Pivetta has 20 starts of five or more innings this season in 27 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
• The Rays are batting .243 this season, 15th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .385 (19th in the league) with 122 home runs.
• The Rays have gone 16-for-44 with seven doubles, two home runs and 12 RBI in 10 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
• The 29-year-old’s 4.37 ERA ranks 45th, 1.330 WHIP ranks 44th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 22nd among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Rays have won 58 out of the 92 games, or 63%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Tampa Bay has entered 42 games this season favored by -157 or more and is 31-11 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 61.1% chance to win.
• Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 62 of their 134 chances.
• The Rays are 65-69-0 against the spread in their 134 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (38.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 137 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 69-68-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Rays best hitter so far this season is Yandy Diaz, who’s hitting at a team-leading .289 clip along with eight homers and 51 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Diaz ranks 188th in home runs and 97th in RBI.
• Diaz has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has hit 19 home runs with 74 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
• Arozarena ranks 52nd in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Arozarena heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Harold Ramirez is hitting .327 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 17 walks.
• Ramirez has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a walk and four RBI.
• David Peralta is batting .257 with 28 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 34 walks.
• Peralta brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .313 with three doubles and two RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 25 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 73.
• Devers is 24th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Xander Bogaerts’ .315 batting average leads his team.
• Bogaerts is 124th among all batters in MLB in homers, and 52nd in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .286 with 34 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 34 walks.
• Tommy Pham is batting .246 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.