Rays vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

by | Jul 9, 2022

Yandy Diaz (12 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Tampa Bay Rays (45-38) and Cincinnati Reds (30-54) meet Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, live from Great American Ball Park. Diaz and the Rays are favored by bookmakers with -159 odds on the moneyline. Drew Rasmussen takes the mound for Tampa Bay while Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -159 +136 9 -121 +101 -1.5 +101 -123

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+136) and Over (9)

Rays vs. Reds Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Hunter Greene
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Rasmussen Greene
13 GS 16
5-3 W-L 3-10
3.30 ERA 6.01
62.2 IP 79.1
18 BB 33
51 SO 98

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

  • Rasmussen makes the start for the Rays, his 14th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.30 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 62 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 3.30, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .233 batting average against him.
  • Rasmussen has two quality starts this season.
  • Rasmussen has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this year entering this outing.
  • He will face a Reds offense that ranks 16th in the league with 352 runs while batting .237 as a squad. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 77 home runs (21st in MLB).

Reds Starter Hunter Greene

  • The Reds will send Greene (3-10) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 1/3 innings against the New York Mets.
  • The 22-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 6.01 and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .241.
  • He has earned a quality start three times in 16 starts this season.
  • Greene has started 16 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • The Rays have scored 341 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 658 hits, 16th in baseball, with 77 home runs (21st in the league).

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have won 33, or 60%, of the 55 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 16-7 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -159 on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 61.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 83 opportunities.
  • The Rays have an ATS record of 38-45-0 in 83 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 66 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (36.4%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 12-26 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +136 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 45 of their 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds have an against the spread record of 38-48-0 in 86 games with a line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Diaz’s .293 average leads the Rays this year. His resume also includes three homers and driven in 18 RBI.
  • Diaz ranks 257th in homers and 244th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Diaz takes a hitting streak of 12 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .447 with six doubles, eight walks and three RBI.
  • Randy Arozarena’s 39 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Arozarena ranks 91st in homers in the majors, and 63rd in RBI.
  • Wander Franco is hitting .257 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 17 walks.
  • Franco has at least one base hit in 10 straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, seven walks and three RBI.
  • Harold Ramirez is hitting .314 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 15 walks.
  • Ramirez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
Yandy Díaz 75 .293 .408 .387 3 18 75
Randy Arozarena 80 .252 .307 .413 9 39 78
Wander Franco 57 .257 .305 .394 5 23 58
Harold Ramirez 69 .314 .364 .429 4 30 66
Ji-Man Choi 59 .282 .383 .462 7 38 55

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury leads the Reds in home runs (18) and runs batted in (48).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Drury’s home run total ranks 17th and his RBI tally is 25th.
  • Drury takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 walks while batting .249.
  • Pham is currently 63rd in home runs and 79th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Kyle Farmer has a team-high batting average of .272.
  • Joey Votto has 15 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 33 walks while batting .210.
Brandon Drury 74 .265 .325 .527 18 48 74
Tommy Pham 75 .249 .336 .404 11 36 69
Kyle Farmer 71 .272 .339 .400 5 40 68
Joey Votto 62 .210 .332 .374 6 25 45
Tyler Naquin 44 .255 .315 .463 6 23 38

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