Rays vs. Twins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/10/2022

by | Jun 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rays vs. Twins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/10/2022

The Minnesota Twins (33-26) will lean on Byron Buxton, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (34-23) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET. The Twins are -105 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Drew Rasmussen takes the mound for Tampa Bay while Devin Smeltzer is Minnesota’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -114 -105 8.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +144 -173

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Twins

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (-105) and Over (8.5)

Rays vs. Twins Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Devin Smeltzer
  • Game Day: Friday, June 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Rasmussen Smeltzer
11 GS 5
5-2 W-L 2-0
3.02 ERA 1.93
53.2 IP 28.0
14 BB 6
46 SO 13

Rays Starter Drew Rasmussen

  • Rasmussen gets the start for the Rays, his 12th of the season. He is 5-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 46 strikeouts through 53 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Chicago White Sox, when the righty tossed 7 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
  • In 11 games this season, the 26-year-old has amassed a 3.02 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .207 to his opponents.
  • Rasmussen has two quality starts this year.
  • Rasmussen has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this year heading into this game.
  • He will take the hill against a Twins team that is batting .250 as a unit (sixth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .410 (seventh in MLB) with 69 total home runs (ninth in MLB).

Twins Starter Devin Smeltzer

  • The Twins will hand the ball to Smeltzer (2-0) for his sixth start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 1.93 and 4.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .206 in five games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in five starts this season.
  • Smeltzer has four starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The Rays are batting .231 this season, 24th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .375 (22nd in the league) with 54 home runs.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 28 (63.6%) of those contests.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has won 27 of its 41 games, or 65.9%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 57 chances this season.
  • In 57 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 27-30-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (43.5%) in those games.
  • This season, Minnesota has come away with a win nine times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of their 59 opportunities.
  • The Twins are 27-32-0 against the spread in their 59 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Randy Arozarena has put up a team-high six home runs.
  • Arozarena ranks 88th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Yandy Diaz is batting .276 to lead his team.
  • Diaz is 203rd in home runs and 242nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Manuel Margot is hitting .312 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks.
  • Ji-Man Choi has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 29 RBI.
  • Choi takes a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .306 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Randy Arozarena 55 .258 .306 .423 6 28 55
Yandy Díaz 49 .276 .418 .359 3 12 43
Manuel Margot 41 .312 .377 .438 3 23 45
Ji-Man Choi 39 .278 .367 .484 5 29 35
Harold Ramirez 45 .284 .324 .381 2 19 38

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a .359 batting average.
  • Arraez ranks 251st in home runs and 214th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Arraez has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .529 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Buxton has a team-high 15 home runs.
  • Buxton is fifth in homers and 59th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Jorge Polanco has racked up a team-high 31 runs batted in.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .248 with seven doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 49 .359 .447 .424 2 14 61
Byron Buxton 42 .231 .315 .562 15 28 37
Jorge Polanco 55 .234 .329 .380 7 31 48
Max Kepler 50 .248 .349 .412 6 27 41
Gio Urshela 52 .278 .332 .409 5 24 49

Betting Tips for Rays vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at -105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

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