Rays vs. Twins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/12/2022

by | Jun 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rays vs. Twins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/12/2022

The Minnesota Twins (35-26) seek to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into the finale versus the Tampa Bay Rays (34-25) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday from Target Field. The Rays are favored (-114) by sportsbooks to prevent the sweep and pick up their first win of the series. Jeffrey Springs will get the ball for Tampa Bay while Minnesota counter with Cole Sands.

Rays vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -114 -106 8.5 -117 -103 -1.5 +148 -172

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Twins

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (-106) and Over (8.5)

Rays vs. Twins Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Cole Sands
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Springs Sands
7 GS 2
2-2 W-L 0-2
1.62 ERA 8.49
44.1 IP 11.2
10 BB 6
45 SO 13

Rays Starter Jeffrey Springs

  • Springs makes the start for the Rays, his eighth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 1.62 ERA and 45 strikeouts through 44 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw six scoreless innings while giving up six hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed a 1.62 ERA and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .197 to opposing hitters.
  • Springs has registered two quality starts this year.
  • Springs will try to build on a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 2.3 frames per outing).
  • He will match up with a Twins team that is hitting .254 as a unit (fifth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .417 (sixth in MLB) with 73 total home runs (seventh in MLB).

Twins Starter Cole Sands

  • The Twins will send Sands to the mound for his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 8.49, a 2.167 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.971.
  • The Rays have scored 249 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They have 456 hits, 21st in baseball, with 57 home runs (16th in the league).
  • The right-hander has faced the Rays one time this season, allowing them to go 3-for-9 with two doubles and two RBI in two innings.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have entered the game as favorites 45 times this season and won 28, or 62.2%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 27-15 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of their 59 opportunities.
  • In 59 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 27-32-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (45.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Minnesota has won 11 of 23 games when listed as at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Minnesota and their opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 61 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Twins are 29-32-0 against the spread in their 61 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Randy Arozarena paces the Rays with seven home runs and 30 runs batted in.
  • Of all batters in the majors, Arozarena is 62nd in home runs and 46th in RBI.
  • Arozarena takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
  • Yandy Diaz is hitting .274 to pace his team.
  • Diaz is 205th in homers and 220th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Manuel Margot is hitting .316 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and 15 walks.
  • Margot will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles and two walks.
  • Ji-Man Choi’s 30 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Choi is riding a 10-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is batting .324 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Randy Arozarena 57 .262 .308 .434 7 30 58
Yandy Díaz 51 .274 .411 .354 3 14 45
Manuel Margot 43 .316 .381 .434 3 23 48
Ji-Man Choi 40 .277 .364 .477 5 30 36
Harold Ramirez 47 .293 .331 .386 2 20 41

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .367.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Arraez is 205th in home runs and 156th in RBI.
  • Arraez carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .390 with two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Byron Buxton has shown his power as he leads his team with 17 home runs.
  • Buxton is currently second in home runs and 46th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Jorge Polanco has racked up a team-high 33 runs batted in.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .249 with eight doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 51 .367 .449 .444 3 19 66
Byron Buxton 44 .236 .317 .594 17 30 39
Jorge Polanco 57 .244 .337 .390 7 33 52
Max Kepler 52 .249 .348 .410 6 27 43
Gio Urshela 54 .274 .330 .402 5 24 49

Betting Tips for Rays vs. Twins

Our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at -106 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

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