Rays vs. Yankees Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/11/2022

by | Sep 11, 2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (78-59) and the New York Yankees (84-56) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The Rays are -120 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Yankees (+100). Luis Patino takes the mound for Tampa Bay while Domingo German is New York’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Yankees Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Yankees Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -120 +100 -1.5 +140 -170

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Yankees

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Yankees on the moneyline at +100.

Our computer pick: New York Yankees (+100)

Rays vs. Yankees Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Luis Patiño
  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
  • Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Pitching Matchup

Patiño Germán
5 GS 10
1-1 W-L 2-3
4.34 ERA 3.27
18.2 IP 55.0
9 BB 12
11 SO 38

Rays Starter Luis Patiño

  • Patino (1-1) takes the mound for the Rays in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.34 ERA in 18 2/3 innings pitched, with 11 strikeouts.
  • His last appearance was on Monday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 4.34, with 5.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season. Opponents are batting .280 against him.
  • Patiño is yet to record a quality start so far this season.
  • Patiño will look to extend a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.2 innings per outing).
  • He meets a Yankees offense that ranks third in the league with 687 runs while batting .239 as a unit. It has a collective .422 slugging percentage (sixth in MLB play) and has hit a total of 217 home runs (first in MLB).

Yankees Starter Domingo Germán

  • The Yankees will send German (2-3) to the mound for his 11th start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.27, a 3.167 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.145 in 10 games this season.
  • He’s looking to extend his four-game quality start streak.
  • Germán has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Rays have scored 582 runs this season, which ranks 20th in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 122 home runs, 24th in the league.
  • The right-hander has allowed the Rays to go 11-for-44 with three doubles, a home run and five RBI in 11 1/3 innings this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have been favorites in 95 games this season and won 60 (63.2%) of those contests.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has won 56 of its 87 games, or 64.4%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of their 137 games with a total.
  • The Rays are 66-71-0 ATS in their 137 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have been underdogs in 15 games this season and have come away with the win six times (40%) in those contests.
  • This season, New York has been victorious five times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 68 of 144 chances this season.
  • The Yankees have an against the spread record of 63-81-0 in 144 games with a line this season.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz has racked up a team-best batting average of .293.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Diaz is 16th in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage, and 67th in slugging.
  • Diaz has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .385 with a double and three walks.
  • Randy Arozarena has shown off his power as he leads his team with 19 home runs and 76 RBI.
  • Arozarena ranks 52nd in home runs and 30th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Harold Ramirez is batting .319 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
  • David Peralta is hitting .253 with 28 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 34 walks.
Yandy Díaz 124 .293 .401 .422 8 51 127
Randy Arozarena 132 .270 .335 .462 19 76 136
Harold Ramirez 99 .319 .361 .426 5 53 105
David Peralta 115 .253 .317 .437 12 51 96
Isaac Paredes 89 .212 .294 .456 18 40 58

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (55), runs batted in (120) and has a team-high batting average of .307.
  • Judge’s home run total places him first in MLB, and he is first in RBI.
  • Judge brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .471 with a double, a home run, seven walks and three RBI.
  • Gleyber Torres is hitting .238 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Torres ranks 52nd among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 90th in RBI.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .271 with 19 doubles, three home runs and 27 walks.
  • Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .216 with six doubles, 25 home runs and 40 walks.
Aaron Judge 136 .307 .412 .683 55 120 154
Gleyber Torres 124 .238 .291 .413 19 54 110
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 125 .271 .318 .336 3 45 115
Giancarlo Stanton 93 .216 .297 .458 25 65 72
Josh Donaldson 113 .223 .312 .384 13 52 90

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