Rays vs. Yankees Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

by | Sep 3, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Rays vs. Yankees Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (73-57) are -130 favorites for their Saturday matchup with the New York Yankees (79-53). Corey Kluber gets the ball for the Rays and will look to earn his 10th win of the campaign. Kluber starts for Tampa Bay while Clarke Schmidt is New York’s starter for the contest.

Rays vs. Yankees Spread and Betting Line

Rays vs Yankees Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Rays -130 +110 7.5 -110 -111 -1.5 +163 -197

Computer Predictions for Rays vs. Yankees

Our best bet is the Yankees on the moneyline at +110 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Yankees (+110) and Over (7.5)

Rays vs. Yankees Game Info

  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Corey Kluber
  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
  • Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Pitching Matchup

Kluber Schmidt
25 GS 2
9-7 W-L 5-3
4.21 ERA 2.89
134.2 IP 37.1
18 BB 19
118 SO 36

Rays Starter Corey Kluber

  • Kluber tries for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Rays, his 26th of the season. He is 9-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 134 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • In 25 games this season, the 36-year-old has a 4.21 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .264 to opposing hitters.
  • Kluber is aiming to notch his fourth straight quality start in this game.
  • Kluber is aiming for his 11th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Yankees offense has a collective .239 batting average, and is 19th in the league with 1056 total hits and third in MLB action with 652 runs scored. It has the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.424) and ranks first in home runs (205) in all of MLB.
  • In 18 innings over three appearances against the Yankees this season, Kluber has a 1.5 ERA and a 0.722 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .175.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 36-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (4.21), 29th in WHIP (1.166), and 32nd in K/9 (7.9).

Yankees Starter Clarke Schmidt

  • The Yankees’ Schmidt will make his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched to a 2.89 ERA this season with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.6 walks per nine across 18 games.
  • The Rays have scored 559 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They have 1057 hits, 18th in baseball, with 119 home runs (22nd in the league).
  • The Rays have gone 4-for-21 with two doubles, a home run and an RBI in four games against the right-hander this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have been favorites in 89 games this season and won 55 (61.8%) of those contests.
  • Tampa Bay is 48-25 this season when entering a game favored by -130 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 130 games with a total this season.
  • In 130 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 63-67-0 ATS.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have been underdogs in 12 games this season and have come away with the win five times (41.7%) in those contests.
  • New York has a mark of 4-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 60 of their 132 opportunities.
  • In 132 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 57-75-0 against the spread.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz has accumulated a team-best batting average of .286.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Diaz ranks 25th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 76th in slugging.
  • Randy Arozarena’s 18 home runs and 70 RBI both lead his team.
  • Arozarena is 51st in home runs in baseball, and 30th in RBI.
  • Arozarena heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .478 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
  • Harold Ramirez is batting .332 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 16 walks.
  • Ramirez has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .360 with two doubles and three RBI.
  • Isaac Paredes has hit 18 home runs to pace his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 117 .286 .395 .420 8 49 118
Randy Arozarena 125 .268 .336 .455 18 70 128
Harold Ramirez 93 .332 .370 .446 5 48 102
Isaac Paredes 83 .222 .305 .479 18 40 58
David Peralta 110 .253 .318 .438 12 50 92

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 51 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 113.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo has 19 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .225.
  • Rizzo is ninth overall in homers and 29th in RBI this year.
  • DJ LeMahieu has 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 65 walks while hitting .267.
  • Andrew Benintendi leads the Yankees with a .302 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 128 .294 .398 .661 51 113 139
Anthony Rizzo 117 .225 .339 .493 30 71 93
DJ LeMahieu 118 .267 .365 .389 12 46 118
Andrew Benintendi 126 .302 .371 .397 5 51 139
Gleyber Torres 117 .242 .291 .422 18 51 105

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