Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/17/2022

Boston’s Nathan Eovaldi gets the start, and he’ll go against Houston’s Jose Urquidy.

Red Sox vs. Astros Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Astros

Our computer pick: Houston Astros (-109) and Under (9)

Red Sox vs. Astros Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Houston Astros probable starting pitcher: José Urquidy
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 17, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• Eovaldi (1-1) takes the mound for the Red Sox in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.15 ERA in 40 innings pitched, with 42 strikeouts.
• His last time out came on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when the righty went 6 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
• In seven games this season, the 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.15, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .235 against him.
• Eovaldi has three quality starts under his belt this year.
• Eovaldi will try to extend a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per appearance).
• He meets an Astros offense that ranks 12th in the league with 154 runs while batting .229 as a unit. It has a collective .407 slugging percentage (sixth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 49 home runs (second in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 32-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.15), 21st in WHIP (1.075), and 18th in K/9 (9.5).

Astros Starter José Urquidy

• Urquidy (2-1) will take to the mound for the Astros and make his seventh start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed three innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.40, a 4.75 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.326 in six games this season.
• In six starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• In six starts this season, Urquidy has lasted five or more innings four times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Red Sox rank 23rd in MLB with 132 runs scored this season. They have a .235 batting average this campaign with 22 home runs (27th in the league).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Boston has entered 15 games this season favored by -109 or more and is 7-8 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have a 52.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 10 of their 35 chances.
• The Red Sox are 18-17-0 against the spread in their 35 chances this season.

Astros Betting Picks & Insights

• The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in nine games this year and have walked away with the win three times (33.3%) in those games.
• Houston has a mark of 3-6 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Houston and their opponents have gone over in 10 of their 36 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Astros have posted a record of 19-17-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has gone yard six times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 19 runs, both totals that lead the Red Sox.
• Devers ranks 31st in homers and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Devers takes a hitting streak of 10 games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .415 with six doubles, two home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has a club-high .346 batting average.
• Including all major league hitters, Bogaerts ranks 104th in homers and 85th in RBI.
• Bogaerts heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• J.D. Martinez has 12 doubles, four home runs and eight walks while batting .321.
• Martinez is on a 17-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .341 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .205 with five doubles, three home runs and eight walks.

Astros Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 11 home runs.
• Alvarez ranks second in homers and 26th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Alex Bregman has collected 22 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Bregman is currently 46th in homers and 20th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Kyle Tucker has six doubles, five home runs and 20 walks while batting .246.
• Jeremy Pena is hitting .276 with five doubles, a triple, six home runs and nine walks.

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Astros

Our best bet is the Astros on the moneyline at -109 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will under the total of 9 runs.