Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

Nathan Eovaldi will get the ball for Boston while Toronto counter with Kevin Gausman.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

Our best bet is the Blue Jays on the moneyline at -108 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Toronto Blue Jays (-108) and Over (8.5)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Toronto Blue Jays probable starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
• Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• Eovaldi makes the start for the Red Sox, his 14th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 76 strikeouts through 72 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Friday against the New York Yankees, when the righty tossed 4 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.34, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .250 batting average against him.
• Eovaldi is looking to pick up his seventh quality start of the year in this outing.
• Eovaldi is looking to pick up his 11th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• He will take the mound against a Blue Jays offense that is batting .262 as a unit (first in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .433 (fourth in MLB) with 119 total home runs (sixth in MLB).
• Eovaldi has pitched 11 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on 12 hits while striking out 11 against the Blue Jays this season.

Blue Jays Starter Kevin Gausman

• The Blue Jays will send Gausman (6-7) to the mound for his 18th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday, July 14 in his last outing, a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
• The 31-year-old has pitched to a 2.87 ERA this season with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across 17 games.
• He has earned a quality start 10 times in 17 starts this season.
• Gausman has started 17 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 14 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Red Sox rank eighth in MLB with 430 runs scored this season. They have a .256 batting average this campaign with 91 home runs (18th in the league).
• The Red Sox have gone 15-for-74 with two doubles and an RBI in 21 innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 31-year-old ranks 17th in ERA (2.87), 49th in WHIP (1.287), and eighth in K/9 (10.1).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 50 games this season and won 30 (60%) of those contests.
• Boston has a record of 30-20 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -108 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51.9% chance to win.
• Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 93 games with a total this season.
• The Red Sox have an ATS record of 50-43-0 in 93 games with a spread this season.

Blue Jays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (44.4%) in those games.
• This season, Toronto has been victorious eight times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Toronto have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 92 chances this season.
• The Blue Jays have posted a record of 39-53-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 22 home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .324.
• Devers’ home runs place him ninth in the majors, and he ranks 21st in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .316 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
• Bogaerts ranks 154th in home runs and 92nd in RBI on the season.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .262 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .302 with 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.

Blue Jays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a team-high 20 home runs and has driven in 57 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Guerrero’s home run total is 14th and his RBI tally is 17th.
• Guerrero brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Alejandro Kirk has a club-best .315 batting average.
• Kirk ranks 78th in home runs and 92nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• George Springer is batting .250 with 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 33 walks.
• Bo Bichette is hitting .257 with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 25 walks.