Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

by | Jun 19, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Red Sox vs. Cardinals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/19/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Sunday when the Boston Red Sox (35-31) and St. Louis Cardinals (38-29) take to the field at 1:35 PM ET, live on NESN. Xander Bogaerts is batting .342 for the Red Sox (-147 favorites on the moneyline) while Paul Goldschmidt leads the underdog Cardinals (+125) with a .346 average. Boston’s Nick Pivetta and St. Louis’ Andre Pallante have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -147 +125 9 -113 -107 -1.5 +139 -166

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Cardinals

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+125) and Under (9)

Red Sox vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Andre Pallante
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Pivetta Pallante
13 GS 2
6-5 W-L 2-1
3.50 ERA 1.46
74.2 IP 37.0
25 BB 17
72 SO 25

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta (6-5) takes the mound for the Red Sox in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.50 ERA in 74 2/3 innings pitched, with 72 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s last appearance came on Tuesday against the Oakland Athletics, when he tossed 8 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.50, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents are hitting .205 against him.
  • Pivetta enters the outing with seven quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Pivetta will try to build upon a nine-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • He will take the hill against a Cardinals team that is batting .256 as a unit (fourth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .405 (ninth in MLB) with 70 total home runs (13th in MLB).
  • The 29-year-old ranks 39th in ERA (3.50), 24th in WHIP (1.085), and 29th in K/9 (8.7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Cardinals Starter Andre Pallante

  • Pallante will take to the mound for the Cardinals, his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Wednesday, when he threw 2 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while allowing two hits to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
  • He has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 1.46, a 1.471 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.378.
  • Pallante has made one start of five or more innings in two chances this season, and averages 1.3 frames when he pitches.
  • The Red Sox are batting .257 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .412 (sixth in the league) with 62 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 23, or 60.5%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won eight of its 16 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of their 66 games with a total this season.
  • The Red Sox are 35-31-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (48.5%) in those contests.
  • This year, St. Louis has won one of seven games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • St. Louis and their opponents have gone over in 35 of their 68 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cardinals are 38-29-0 against the spread in their 67 games that had a posted line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers has homered 16 times this season, the highest mark on the Red Sox, while hitting .328 with 42 RBI.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Devers ranks 11th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
  • Bogaerts has a club-best .342 batting average.
  • Bogaerts ranks 108th in homers in the majors, and 64th in RBI.
  • Bogaerts has 11 games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is batting .447 with five doubles, two walks and five RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez leads the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .342.
  • Alex Verdugo has 14 doubles, four home runs and 14 walks while batting .241.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 65 .328 .378 .604 16 42 87
Xander Bogaerts 64 .342 .404 .500 6 31 82
J.D. Martínez 56 .342 .411 .557 8 28 75
Alex Verdugo 60 .241 .283 .353 4 33 56
Trevor Story 59 .219 .301 .399 9 44 50

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Goldschmidt leads the lineup with a batting average of .346, and leads the Cardinals in home runs, with 16 and runs batted in with 58.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Goldschmidt ranks 11th in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Goldschmidt has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .368 with two doubles, four home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .280 with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Arenado is currently 21st in homers and 12th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Tommy Edman has 10 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 26 walks while batting .284.
  • Harrison Bader is batting .270 with six doubles, three triples, five home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 64 .346 .426 .626 16 58 85
Nolan Arenado 63 .280 .353 .504 13 45 66
Tommy Edman 65 .284 .357 .428 7 29 73
Harrison Bader 64 .270 .312 .392 5 20 60
Brendan Donovan 46 .326 .436 .449 1 22 45

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Cardinals

Our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at +125 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will under the total of 9 runs.

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