Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

The Boston Red Sox (43-33) will take on the Chicago Cubs (30-46) on Friday at 2:20 PM ET. Rafael Devers will be looking for his 99th hit of the season for the favored Red Sox (-130) when the game gets underway at Wrigley Field. Rich Hill starts for Boston while Adrian Sampson is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +110 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+110) and Over (9)

Red Sox vs. Cubs Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Rich Hill
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Rich Hill

• Hill (4-4 with a 4.23 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 66 innings pitched) gets the start for the Red Sox, his 15th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 42-year-old has an ERA of 4.23, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .259 against him.
• Hill heads into this matchup with three quality starts under his belt this year.
• Hill will look to build on a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.2 frames per outing).
• The opposing Cubs offense has the 13th-ranked slugging percentage (.401) and is 18th in MLB play with 77 home runs. It has a collective .250 batting average, and is ninth in MLB with 647 total hits and 14th in MLB action scoring 336 runs.

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• The Cubs’ Sampson will make his second start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, throwing 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
• He has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 2.53, a 5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .844.
• The Red Sox have scored 364 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 685 hits, first in baseball, with 73 home runs (19th in the league).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 29, or 65.9%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 18-11, a 62.1% win rate, when favored by -130 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 30 of 76 chances this season.
• In 76 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 43-33-0 ATS.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won in 20, or 38.5%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 14-24 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 47.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 39 of their 76 opportunities.
• The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 38-38-0 in 76 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Red Sox leader in both batting average and long balls is Devers, who comes into the contest hitting .328 and has left the yard 17 times while driving in 45 runs this season.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Devers’ home run total ranks him 13th, and his RBI tally puts him 24th.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .326 with 21 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks.
• Bogaerts is 138th in home runs and 105th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Bogaerts heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double and four walks.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .266 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Verdugo has at least one base hit in 10 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .410 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .313 with 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .283.
• Contreras is 36th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Contreras carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .282 with four doubles, a home run, six walks and seven RBI.
• Ian Happ has 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 40 walks while hitting .280.
• Happ is 92nd overall in homers and 58th in RBI this year.
• Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs in home runs (16) and runs batted in (43).
• Nico Hoerner is hitting .310 with seven doubles, three triples, four home runs and nine walks.