Red Sox vs. Mariners Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/22/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Sunday when the Boston Red Sox (18-22) and Seattle Mariners (17-24) take to the field at 1:35 PM ET. J.D. Martinez is batting .349 for the Red Sox (-132 favorites on the moneyline) while Ty France leads the underdog Mariners (+112) with a .323 average. Nathan Eovaldi will get the ball for Boston while Seattle counter with Logan Gilbert.

Red Sox vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Mariners

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+112) and Over (9.5)

Red Sox vs. Mariners Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
• Game Day: Sunday, May 22, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nathan Eovaldi

• The Red Sox will send Eovaldi (1-2) out for his ninth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.32 ERA and 42 strikeouts through 41 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Houston Astros, when he went 1 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 32-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.32, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents are batting .263 against him.
• Eovaldi has registered three quality starts this year.
• Eovaldi has six starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He meets a Mariners offense that ranks 19th in the league with 160 runs while batting .233 as a squad. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (18th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 41 home runs (10th in MLB).
• This season, the 32-year-old ranks 49th in ERA (4.32), 43rd in WHIP (1.224), and 20th in K/9 (9.1) among qualifying pitchers.

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

• The Mariners’ Gilbert (4-2) will make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 2.60, a 3.188 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.111.
• In eight starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Gilbert has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Red Sox are batting .244 this season, ninth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .386 (16th in the league) with 32 home runs.
• The 25-year-old ranks 19th in ERA (2.60), 27th in WHIP (1.111), and 13th in K/9 (10.2) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won 10 out of the 19 games, or 52.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Boston has a record of 4-6, a 40% win rate, when favored by -132 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 40 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 21-19-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (33.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Seattle has been victorious five times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 41 opportunities.
• The Mariners are 21-20-0 against the spread in their 41 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with nine homers on the year. He’s also hitting .337 with 24 RBI.
• Devers ranks 11th in homers and 21st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Xander Bogaerts has eight doubles, four home runs and 13 walks while batting .331.
• Bogaerts ranks 79th in homers and 96th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Martinez paces the Red Sox with a .349 batting average.
• Martinez has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Trevor Story’s 28 runs batted in lead his team.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• France leads the Mariners with 28 runs batted in while putting up a team-high batting average of .323.
• Among all batters in the majors, France’s home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally ranks 11th.
• France has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
• Adam Frazier is batting .253 with nine doubles, a triple, a home run and 16 walks.
• Frazier is 255th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 131st in RBI.
• J.P. Crawford is hitting .299 with eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks.
• Eugenio Suarez has hit a team-best seven home runs.

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Mariners

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +112. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.