Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/27/2022

by | May 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/27/2022

The Boston Red Sox (21-23) will look to Alex Verdugo, red hot after a four-hit game, to lead them in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (18-27) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are -201 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers. Garrett Whitlock will get the ball for Boston while Baltimore counter with Kyle Bradish.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -201 +172 9.5 -115 -105 -1.5 -105 -115

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+172) and Over (9.5)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
  • Game Day: Friday, May 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Whitlock Bradish
6 GS 5
1-1 W-L 1-3
3.58 ERA 5.74
32.2 IP 26.2
10 BB 8
40 SO 27

Red Sox Starter Garrett Whitlock

  • The Red Sox will send Whitlock (1-1) out for his seventh start of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Seattle Mariners, the right-hander went three innings, allowing five earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
  • In 10 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.58, with 11.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .222 against him.
  • So far this season, Whitlock has not recorded a quality start.
  • Whitlock enters the matchup with two outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • He will face off against an Orioles offense that ranks 17th in MLB with 344 total hits (on a .225 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .345 (28th in MLB) with 35 total home runs (24th in MLB).

Orioles Starter Kyle Bradish

  • The Orioles’ Bradish (1-3) will make his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 5.74 and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .286.
  • In five starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
  • Bradish has three starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
  • The Red Sox rank third in MLB with a .255 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fourth in the league (.409) and 42 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Red Sox in one game, and they have gone 5-for-22 with a double, a home run and two RBI over six innings.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 21 games this season and won 12 (57.1%) of those contests.
  • Boston has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -201.
  • The Red Sox have a 66.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 44 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox have an ATS record of 24-20-0 in 44 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have come away with 16 wins in the 43 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a mark of 3-9 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +172 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 36.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 16 of their 46 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 27-19-0 against the spread in their 46 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 10 homers on the year. He’s also hitting .335 with 25 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Devers’ home run total places him 13th, and his RBI tally puts him 27th.
  • Devers has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .391 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .380 to pace his team.
  • Martinez ranks 70th in home runs and 64th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Martinez has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .537 with five doubles, a home run, five walks and five RBI.
  • Trevor Story has driven in a team-high 37 runs batted in.
  • Xander Bogaerts is batting .319 with nine doubles, four home runs and 18 walks.
  • Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, five walks and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 44 .335 .366 .600 10 25 62
J.D. Martínez 36 .380 .430 .599 5 21 54
Trevor Story 39 .232 .312 .464 9 37 35
Xander Bogaerts 43 .319 .389 .448 4 17 52
Kiké Hernández 41 .200 .268 .335 3 20 34

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Hays is hitting .283 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 14 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .349.
  • Hays ranks 99th in home runs and 80th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Hays takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is hitting .231 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Cedric Mullins is hitting .242 with eight doubles, a triple, five home runs and 12 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Mullins is 70th in home runs and 132nd in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has been a significant run producer for the Orioles with seven home runs and 21 runs batted in.
  • Trey Mancini leads the Orioles with a .288 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Hays 40 .283 .349 .434 4 20 43
Cedric Mullins 45 .242 .305 .379 5 16 44
Anthony Santander 44 .219 .333 .387 7 21 34
Trey Mancini 42 .288 .356 .375 3 16 46
Ryan Mountcastle 33 .256 .288 .391 5 18 34

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +172 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 9.5 runs.

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