Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/30/2022

The Boston Red Sox (23-25) host the Baltimore Orioles (20-29) Monday to close out a five-game series. The Red Sox are favored (-164) to win the rubber match, which starts at 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park. Boston’s Rich Hill and Baltimore’s Tyler Wells have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Orioles

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+141) and Over (10)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Rich Hill
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
• Game Day: Monday, May 30, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Rich Hill

• Hill gets the start for the Red Sox, his ninth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 35 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, the lefty threw five innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
• In eight games this season, the 42-year-old has a 3.86 ERA and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .239 to his opponents.
• Hill has collected one quality start this year.
• Hill will try to secure his fourth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .228 batting average, and is 11th in the league with 380 total hits and 24th in MLB action with 180 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.351) and ranks 22nd in home runs (40) in all of MLB.
• Hill has thrown four innings without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out four against the Orioles this season.

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

• The Orioles will send Wells (1-4) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.30 and 6.0 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .264 in nine games this season.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Wells has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings four times. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Red Sox are batting .262 this season, second in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .425 (second in the league) with 49 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 25 times this season and won 14, or 56%, of those games.
• This season, Boston has won two of its six games when favored by at least -164 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 48 games with a total this season.
• The Red Sox are 26-22-0 against the spread in their 48 chances this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been victorious in 18, or 38.3%, of the 47 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 11-18 when favored by +141 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 41.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Baltimore and their opponents have gone over in 18 of their 50 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 50 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 29-21-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers’ 11 big flies in 2022 are the most on the Red Sox. He’s also driven in 26 runs while hitting .345.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Devers is ninth in home runs and 27th in RBI.
• J.D. Martinez’s .379 batting average leads his team.
• Of all major league hitters, Martinez ranks 75th in home runs and 53rd in RBI.
• Martinez has nine games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is batting .513 with four doubles, eight walks and four RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .328 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Trevor Story has collected 37 runs batted in to lead his team.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Hays is batting .291 with 11 doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.
• Hays ranks 75th in home runs and 67th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Hays has collected a hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .275 with two home runs, three walks and nine RBI.
• Anthony Santander has hit eight home runs with 25 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Among all MLB hitters, Santander is 36th in homers and 34th in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins is hitting .241 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 13 walks.
• Trey Mancini paces the Orioles with a .298 batting average.

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +141 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.