Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/20/2022

The Boston Red Sox will look to pick up their 60th win of the season when they take on the Baltimore Orioles (62-57) Saturday. The game begins at 4:05 PM ET, with the Red Sox listed as -118 favorites on the moneyline. Michael Wacha starts for Boston while Kyle Bradish is Baltimore’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Orioles

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at -101. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (-101) and Over (8.5)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
• Game Day: Saturday, August 20, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• Wacha makes the start for the Red Sox, his 15th of the season. He is 7-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 77 1/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Sunday against the New York Yankees, when the righty tossed seven scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
• The 31-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.44, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents have a .205 batting average against him.
• Wacha is trying to record his fifth quality start of the year.
• Wacha is looking for his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Orioles offense has a collective .239 batting average, and is 19th in the league with 959 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 512 runs scored. It has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.395) and ranks 15th in home runs (125) in all of MLB.

Orioles Starter Kyle Bradish

• The Orioles will send Bradish (1-4) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday.
• The 25-year-old has pitched to a 6.38 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.7 walks per nine across 14 games.
• In 14 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Bradish has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Red Sox have scored 541 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They are batting .254 for the campaign with 112 home runs, 19th in the league.
• The Red Sox have gone 11-for-33 with two doubles, two home runs and eight RBI in 7 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 35, or 56.5%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 28-24, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of their 120 games with a total.
• In 120 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 61-59-0 ATS.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been victorious in 51, or 49.5%, of the 103 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 46-47 when favored by -101 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 50.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of their 120 opportunities.
• The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 79-41-0 in 120 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 25 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
• Devers’ home runs put him 15th in the majors, and he ranks 32nd in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 30 doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks while hitting .283.
• Verdugo ranks 192nd in homers and 53rd in RBI on the year.
• Verdugo heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts paces the Red Sox with a team-high batting average of .303.
• Bogaerts is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Tommy Pham has 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .244.
• Pham is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .381 with three doubles and four RBI.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles with a .265 batting average.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Mullins ranks 121st in home runs and 82nd in RBI.
• Mullins carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Anthony Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 21 home runs and 66 runs batted in.
• Santander is 32nd overall in home runs and 29th in RBI this season.
• Austin Hays is batting .257 with 28 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 24 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks while batting .250.