Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/10/2022

Jesus Aguilar is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Baltimore Orioles (73-65) as they get set to take on the Boston Red Sox (67-72) on Saturday. The Orioles enter the matchup as -108 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 5:05 PM ET, live on MASN. Boston’s Michael Wacha gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at -108 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (-108) and Over (8.5)

Red Sox vs. Orioles Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
• Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
• Game Time: 5:05 PM ET
• TV Channel: MASN
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• Wacha (10-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 83 strikeouts in 101 innings pitched) gets the start for the Red Sox, his 19th of the season.
• In his last time out on Monday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the right-hander went six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• In 18 games this season, the 31-year-old has a 2.58 ERA and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .210 to opposing hitters.
• Wacha is seeking his third straight quality start.
• Wacha is looking for his ninth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.390) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 146 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 21st in MLB with 1090 total hits and 19th in MLB play scoring 579 runs.
• Wacha has a 0.00 ERA and a 0.882 WHIP against the Orioles this season in 5 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .200 batting average over one appearance.

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

• The Orioles will send Lyles (10-9) to the mound for his 28th start this season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday, Aug. 31 in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
• The 31-year-old has pitched in 27 games this season with an ERA of 4.25 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .282.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Lyles will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Red Sox are batting .258 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .410 (eighth in the league) with 131 home runs.
• The Red Sox have gone 25-for-65 with eight doubles and eight RBI in 14 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
• The 31-year-old ranks 41st in ERA (4.25), 47th in WHIP (1.444), and 39th in K/9 (7.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 70 times and won 41, or 58.6%, of those games.
• Boston is 40-29 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 139 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have an ATS record of 71-68-0 in 139 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won in 58, or 49.6%, of the 117 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Baltimore has come away with a win 56 times in 115 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 139 opportunities.
• The Orioles are 90-49-0 against the spread in their 139 games that had a posted line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers is the Red Sox best power hitter, launching 25 long balls this season in addition to accumulating 73 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Devers ranks 25th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .318 to pace his team.
• Bogaerts is 112th in homers and 50th in RBI on the year.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .286 with 35 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 36 walks.
• Tommy Pham has 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks while batting .248.
• Pham has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander paces the Orioles in home runs (27) and runs batted in (79).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Santander is 17th in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins has a club-high .263 batting average.
• Among all major league hitters, Mullins ranks 112th in homers and 94th in RBI.
• Ryan Mountcastle has 26 doubles, 21 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .245.
• Austin Hays is hitting .247 with 30 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 27 walks.