Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

Ke’Bryan Hayes is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Pittsburgh Pirates (45-70) as they get set to take on the Boston Red Sox (57-59) on Tuesday. The Pirates enter the matchup as +110 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from PNC Park at 7:05 PM ET. Nick Pivetta will get the ball for Boston while Pittsburgh counter with Mitch Keller.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Pirates

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +110. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) and Under (9)

Red Sox vs. Pirates Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: PNC Park

Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

• Pivetta makes the start for the Red Sox, his 24th of the season. He is 8-9 with a 4.51 ERA and 124 strikeouts in 129 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In 23 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.51, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .252 against him.
• Pivetta has 11 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Pivetta is aiming for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will face off against a Pirates offense that is hitting .221 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .363 (28th in MLB) with 114 total home runs (17th in MLB).
• The 29-year-old ranks 54th in ERA (4.51), 49th in WHIP (1.326), and 25th in K/9 (8.6) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

• Keller (4-8) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 21st start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.25 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .274 in 22 games this season.
• He has started 20 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in eight of them.
• Keller has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Red Sox are batting .253 this season, sixth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .408 (11th in the league) with 112 home runs.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 58 times and won 33, or 56.9%, of those games.
• This season, Boston has won 18 of its 36 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of their 116 opportunities.
• In 116 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 59-57-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 36, or 36.4%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 30 times in 88 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of their 116 opportunities.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 60-56-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 25 home runs and 62 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .305.
• Devers’ home runs rank him 13th in the majors, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .303 with 31 doubles, nine home runs and 42 walks.
• Bogaerts is 152nd in homers in MLB, and 73rd in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .275 with 29 doubles, seven home runs and 27 walks.
• Tommy Pham is batting .242 with 16 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
• Pham has recorded at least one hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .267 with four doubles, three home runs, two walks and nine RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in home runs (17), runs batted in (40) and has posted a team-best batting average of .259.
• Reynolds’ home run total places him 40th in the big leagues, and he ranks 132nd in RBI.
• Reynolds takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Hayes has 18 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 39 walks while batting .251.
• Hayes ranks 213th in home runs and 169th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Ben Gamel has 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 34 walks while hitting .236.
• Michael Chavis has 11 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 13 walks while batting .245.