Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

by | Sep 2, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Friday when the Boston Red Sox (64-68) and Texas Rangers (58-72) take to the field at 7:10 PM ET. Xander Bogaerts is batting .310 for the Red Sox (-189 favorites on the moneyline) while Nate Lowe leads the underdog Rangers (+159) with a .303 average. Nick Pivetta takes the mound for Boston while Dallas Keuchel is Texas’ starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -189 +159 10 -110 -110 -1.5 +104 -125

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Rangers

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Rangers on the moneyline at +159. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+159) and Over (10)

Red Sox vs. Rangers Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel
  • Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Pivetta Keuchel
26 GS 13
9-10 W-L 2-8
4.40 ERA 8.84
147.1 IP 56.0
54 BB 28
143 SO 39

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta (9-10 with a 4.40 ERA and 143 strikeouts in 147 1/3 innings pitched) aims for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Red Sox, his 27th of the season.
  • The righty’s last appearance came on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 29-year-old has amassed a 4.40 ERA and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .248 to his opponents.
  • Pivetta is trying to record his 13th quality start of the season.
  • Pivetta is seeking his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Rangers offense has a collective .244 batting average, and is 14th in the league with 1081 total hits and 10th in MLB action with 592 runs scored. It has the 12th-ranked slugging percentage (.401) and ranks eighth in home runs (160) in all of MLB.
  • Pivetta has thrown seven innings, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out four against the Rangers this season.
  • The 29-year-old’s 4.40 ERA ranks 45th, 1.317 WHIP ranks 42nd, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 22nd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rangers Starter Dallas Keuchel

  • The Rangers’ Keuchel (2-8) will make his 14th start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up seven earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
  • The 34-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 8.84 and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .349.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in 13 starts this season.
  • Keuchel has started 13 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Red Sox have scored 598 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They have 1180 hits, first in baseball, with 125 home runs (19th in the league).
  • The left-hander has faced the Red Sox two times this season, allowing them to go 15-for-37 with four doubles, two home runs and eight RBI in eight innings.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 67 times this season and won 38, or 56.7%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won six of its seven games when favored by at least -189 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 132 games with a total this season.
  • The Red Sox are 65-67-0 against the spread in their 132 chances this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have won in 37, or 46.8%, of the 79 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Texas has a mark of 6-8 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 65 of their 131 opportunities.
  • The Rangers have posted a record of 72-59-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers has put up a team-best 25 home runs and 69 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Devers’ home run total places him 21st, and his RBI tally ranks him 33rd.
  • Bogaerts has a club-best .310 batting average.
  • Among all major league batters, Bogaerts ranks 117th in homers and 58th in RBI.
  • Bogaerts enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .550 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo has 34 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 32 walks while batting .287.
  • Verdugo has at least one base hit in eight straight games. During his last nine games he is hitting .341 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .249 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 48 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 114 .288 .344 .533 25 69 132
Xander Bogaerts 125 .310 .378 .460 12 60 144
Alex Verdugo 125 .287 .332 .410 8 62 139
Tommy Pham 117 .249 .321 .396 15 54 112
J.D. Martínez 114 .271 .339 .428 11 50 120

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Corey Seager has racked up a team-best 29 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Seager’s home run total ranks 11th and his RBI tally ranks 28th.
  • Seager brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Marcus Semien has 21 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 46 walks while batting .242.
  • Semien is 40th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Lowe leads the Rangers with a team-high batting average of .303.
  • Adolis Garcia has driven in the most runs for the Rangers with 83 runs batted in.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Corey Seager 124 .256 .331 .476 29 71 124
Marcus Semien 129 .242 .302 .412 20 65 127
Nate Lowe 125 .303 .356 .499 22 66 144
Adolis García 126 .255 .302 .453 22 83 128
Jonah Heim 105 .238 .316 .416 13 43 81

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