Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

by | Sep 3, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Red Sox vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

Xander Bogaerts, batting .311 this season, leads the Boston Red Sox (65-68) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Nate Lowe (.305 AVG) and the Texas Rangers (58-73). Bogaerts and the Red Sox are -143 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Fenway Park, beginning at 4:10 PM ET. Texas has not named a starter for this contest, while Boston is expected to send Brayan Bello to the mound.

Red Sox vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Red Sox vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Red Sox -143 +122 9.5 -108 -113 -1.5 +139 -168

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Rangers

We have the Rangers on the moneyline at +122 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+122) and Over (9.5)

Red Sox vs. Rangers Game Info

  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
  • Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Red Sox Starter Brayan Bello

  • The Red Sox will send Bello (0-4) to make his sixth start of the season. He is 0-4 with a 7.27 ERA and 24 strikeouts through 26 innings pitched.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 7.27, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in seven games this season. Opposing hitters have a .355 batting average against him.
  • Bello is yet to record a quality start this season.
  • Bello heads into this game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this season.
  • He will take the mound against a Rangers team that is hitting .244 as a unit (14th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .400 (12th in MLB) with 160 total home runs (eighth in MLB).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 39 (57.4%) of those contests.
  • Boston has entered 32 games this season favored by -143 or more and is 17-15 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
  • Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 62 of 133 chances this season.
  • In 133 games with a spread this season, the Red Sox are 66-67-0 ATS.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (46.2%) in those games.
  • Texas has a win-loss record of 19-25 when favored by +122 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Texas have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 66 of 132 chances this season.
  • The Rangers have an against the spread record of 72-60-0 in 132 games with a line this season.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 25 home runs and 70 runs batted in.
  • Devers’ home runs put him 21st in the majors, and he ranks 30th in RBI.
  • Devers carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with three doubles, three walks and five RBI.
  • Bogaerts’ .311 batting average leads his team.
  • Bogaerts is 119th in homers and 56th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Bogaerts enters this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .447 with four doubles, two home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo has 34 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 32 walks while hitting .284.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 48 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 115 .291 .349 .537 25 70 134
Xander Bogaerts 126 .311 .380 .463 12 61 146
Alex Verdugo 126 .284 .329 .406 8 62 139
Tommy Pham 118 .251 .322 .396 15 54 114
J.D. Martínez 115 .274 .342 .428 11 51 122

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Corey Seager has collected a team-high 29 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Seager’s home run total ranks 11th and his RBI tally is 28th.
  • Seager brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, three home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
  • Marcus Semien is batting .244 with 22 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Semien ranks 42nd overall in home runs and 44th in RBI this year.
  • Lowe leads the Rangers’ lineup with a .305 batting average.
  • Adolis Garcia has driven in the most runs for the Rangers with 83 runs batted in.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Corey Seager 125 .256 .330 .474 29 72 125
Marcus Semien 130 .244 .304 .415 20 65 129
Nate Lowe 126 .305 .359 .502 22 66 146
Adolis García 127 .253 .300 .450 22 83 128
Jonah Heim 106 .235 .315 .413 13 43 81

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