Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/4/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (43-36) roll into Monday’s matchup with the Boston Red Sox (43-35) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 1:35 PM ET with the Red Sox listed as -135 favorites on the moneyline to stop the Rays’ streak. Michael Wacha starts for Boston while Jalen Beeks is Tampa Bay’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Rays

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +115. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+115) and Over (10.5)

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks
• Game Day: Monday, July 4, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• The Red Sox are sending Wacha (6-1) to the mound for his 14th start of the season. He is 6-1 with a 2.69 ERA and 50 strikeouts through 70 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Tuesday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the right-hander went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• The 31-year-old has a 2.69 ERA and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings across 13 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .215 to opposing hitters.
• Wacha has recorded three quality starts this year.
• Wacha is looking for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will face a Rays offense that ranks 21st in the league with 325 runs while batting .237 as a squad. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (19th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 76 home runs (19th in MLB).
• Wacha has pitched five innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out three against the Rays this season.

Rays Starter Jalen Beeks

• The Rays’ Beeks (1-1) will make his fifth start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in two innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday.
• The 28-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 2.70 and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .207.
• The Red Sox have scored 370 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .260 for the campaign with 74 home runs, 21st in the league.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 29 (63%) of those contests.
• This season, Boston has won 17 of its 30 games, or 56.7%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 31 of 79 chances this season.
• The Red Sox are 44-35-0 ATS in their 79 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (40%) in those games.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won three of 11 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Tampa Bay and their opponents have gone over in 38 of their 79 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 79 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 36-43-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Red Sox leader in both batting average and homers is Rafael Devers, who comes into the matchup hitting .325 and has left the yard 17 times while driving in 45 runs this season.
• Devers is 15th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Devers takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .217 with a double and two walks.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .318 with 21 doubles, six home runs and 31 walks.
• Of all MLB hitters, Bogaerts is 151st in homers and 114th in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 17 doubles, six home runs and 20 walks while hitting .264.
• Verdugo has at least one base hit in 13 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .366 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and 10 RBI.
• J.D. Martinez has 24 doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks while hitting .307.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz paces the Rays with a team-leading batting average of .283.
• Diaz ranks 251st in homers and 244th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Diaz has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .400 with four doubles, six walks and two RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has driven in the most runs for the Rays with 36 runs batted in.
• Arozarena is 99th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 68th in RBI.
• Harold Ramirez is hitting .323 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
• Wander Franco is batting .255 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 12 walks.