Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/31/2022

The Boston Red Sox will look to pick up their 24th win of the season when they take on the Cincinnati Reds (16-31) Tuesday. The game begins at 7:10 PM ET, with the Red Sox listed as -145 favorites on the moneyline. Boston’s Michael Wacha and Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo have been named the starters for this contest.

Red Sox vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Red Sox vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+125) and Over (8.5)

Red Sox vs. Reds Game Info

• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
• Game Day: Tuesday, May 31, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• Wacha (3-0) takes the mound for the Red Sox in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 2.83 ERA in 35 innings pitched, with 24 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Friday against the Chicago White Sox, the righty went 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• In seven games this season, the 30-year-old has amassed a 2.83 ERA and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .192 to opposing batters.
• Wacha heads into this matchup with one quality start under his belt this year.
• Wacha heads into the game with four outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .226 batting average, and is 28th in the league with 344 total hits and 19th in MLB action with 199 runs scored. It has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.365) and ranks 22nd in home runs (42) in all of MLB.

Reds Starter Luis Castillo

• Castillo (1-2) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.35 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .228 in four games this season.
• In four starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
• Castillo has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Red Sox rank fifth in MLB with 234 runs scored this season. They have a .260 batting average this campaign with 49 home runs (13th in the league).

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 26 times this season and won 14, or 53.8%, of those games.
• This season, Boston has won three of its nine games, or 33.3%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 59.2% chance to win.
• Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 49 games with a total this season.
• The Red Sox are 26-23-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 14, or 35%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Cincinnati has won nine of 29 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 27 of their 48 opportunities.
• In 48 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 22-26-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has hit a team-high 11 home runs.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Devers ranks 10th in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
• J.D. Martinez is hitting .369 to lead his team.
• Martinez ranks 80th in home runs and 58th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .328 with 13 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Bogaerts is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with four doubles, a home run and five RBI.
• Trevor Story has put up 37 runs batted in to pace his team.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the Reds in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (26).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Drury ranks 37th in home runs and 33rd in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .217 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
• Kyle Farmer is hitting .261 to lead the lineup.
• Farmer is currently 117th in homers and 42nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Tommy Pham is batting .233 with six doubles, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Tyler Naquin is hitting .259 with 11 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks.

Betting Tips for Red Sox vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +125 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.